+03.39 units (Match-Ups)
+11.16 units (Props)
- 01.19 units (Outrights)
Total: +13.36 units
Really like four for tonight....Johnson,Martin,Vickers,Montoya. Its just been tough to find any plays with them without the spiked juice.
Match-Ups
1.50 units Jimmie Johnson (-140) over Kyle Busch (@thegreek)
This was JJ's race last year but lost it at the end to Kyle, he and Chad Knaus has talked about it all weekend, think they really want this one. They are solid enough in the Chase so not too worried about point racing think they go all out for the win.
1.50 units Mark Martin (-105) over Jeff Gordon (@thegreek)
Been hearing a lot out of the crews this week about comparing this Chicago track to Michigan. So if you look back, Martin won at Michigan last month and was fastest here in Happy Hour Friday...sounds like a good thing to me.
1.00 unit David Reutimann (+135) over Kasey Kahne (@thegreek)
Really like Reutimann on the 1.5 mile "cookie-cutter" tracks, he won at Charlotte (albeit rain-shortened) and was 4th at Vegas...had a decent run at Michigan finishing 19th. Was very fast in practice and qualifying. Kahne has been doing very well of late but like Reutimann's chances here, maybe Top 8 or better tonight.
1.00 unit Kurt Busch (+105) over Greg Biffle (@5dimes)
The Blue Deuce has been surprisingly consistent this year with 10 Top 10's in 18 races and an avg. finish of 12.2.....has 5 Top 10's in 8 starts here.
Biffle has slid back a little lately only a pair of 18th place runs to go with a 28th in the last 3 starts.
Both drivers have good history here and were neck and neck in last practice but like the look of this Penske team and feel they have a better chance at a Top 5 run.
1.00 unit Dale Jr. (-130) over Kevin Harvick (@5dimes)
Must be crazy laying this kind of vig with Jr. but have a sneaky feeling he may pull out a decent finish...he was racy in qualifying, so-so in practice. Been showing signs of life recently and has avg'd a 15th place finish here in 8 starts.
This is statistically Harvick's best track but he has shown no life this weekend in practice or qualifying and has been doing even worse than Jr the past few months...not sure whats going on at RCR
1.00 unit Tony Stewart (+150) over Jeff Gordon (@5dimes)
More or less a play for value, can't pass it by the way Smoke has been running...and he, like JJ, is locked in the Chase. So he is here for the win not for points.
Props
1.00 unit Brian Vickers (-115) under 8.5 (@sportsbook)
These bigger horsepower tracks are Vickers forte..has averaged a 9.2 in 4 starts here
1.00 unit Dale Jr. (-115) under 18.5 (@sportsbook)
?????Just seems right???? Has beaten this number in 3 of last 4 At Chicago
1.00 unit Kurt Busch (-115) under 12.5 (@sportsbook)
The way Kurt has been running I'll play this every week
Outrights
1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (+515) @5dimes
0.30 unit Mark Martin (12-1) @bodog
0.30 unit Brian Vickers (+1400) @thegreek
0.20 unit Juan Pablo Montoya (40-1) @bodog
Good luck to everyone!