Posted:
#1
CUP YTD: -9.89 units
Took off about 3 weeks but ready to get started again
All lines from 5dimes/sportsbook.ag
PLAYS
3.5 units Bobby Labonte (-160) over Casey Mears
Made this same play back at New Hampshire. Same applies here, Mears will be a start and park this week (per Mark Garrow) so if Labonte can make it to halfway this is a winner
2.0 units Tony Stewart (-105) over Kyle Busch
A 5.80 place avg finish for Smoke last 5 races at Michigan compared to 14.80 for Busch. Also believe Kyle not taking part in Happy Hour practice may have been a mistake
2.0 units Clint Bowyer (-115) over Kevin Harvick
Bowyer has beaten Harvick three straight head to head at this track and three of the last four races this year
2.0 units Reagan Smith (-120) over Jeff Burton
Back to back Top 10's for Smith and looks to have a car capable of another this week. On the other hand four straight finishes of 21st or worst for Burton
1.5 units Carl Edwards (-115) under 6.5
One of Carl's best tracks (8.38 avg in 16 starts). Will be charging hard for a win to challenge for a Chase spot so if he can't run Top 6 here Carl and his new crew chief can experiment for the rest of the season
1.0 unit Joey Logano (+280) to win group
over McMurray/Menard/Montoya/Burton
Logano has no consistentcy but there is no doubt he has a fast car. Still has a shot at the Chase and even though Penske wants him he is still auditioning for a ride next year
OUTRIGHTS
0.80 unit Greg Biffle (+800)
My favorite for today
0.65 unit Kasey Kahne (+925)
Last time he had a car this good I passed on him and it costs me
0.20 unit Joey Logano (+4000)
My longshot play
GL!
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