Posted:
#1
I saw several matchups I like at Texas...I'm feeling more confident about the cars now that we have races under our belt. Some matchups I took because of value...maybe the odds change after qualifying and we can get some free 
Dale Jr. +105 over Edwards
Jr. is a top 10 machine...especially at these big tracks. Just don't think he should be an underdog in this matchup.
Kenseth +120 over Jimmie
This is an example of odds that are wrong. Jimmie could win this race, but the way the Gibbs cars are running and the way Kenseth drives this track...+120 is the wrong price.
Mears +115 over Labonte
Looks to me like the oddsmakers looked at previous finishes and posted the odds as such. Mears has been driving really good this year, and has the superior car in this matchup.
Martin -115 over Stenhouse
Stenhouse hasn't performed like I thought he would this year. He's struggled this year at times keeping up...Last 10 races Martin averages 13th place finish and has 6 top 10's here. Also, if Martin runs great in practice and qualifying, and Stenhouse struggles they may post odds like Stenhouse +130 on Saturday.
GL to everyone this week
Dale Jr. +105 over Edwards
Jr. is a top 10 machine...especially at these big tracks. Just don't think he should be an underdog in this matchup.
Kenseth +120 over Jimmie
This is an example of odds that are wrong. Jimmie could win this race, but the way the Gibbs cars are running and the way Kenseth drives this track...+120 is the wrong price.
Mears +115 over Labonte
Looks to me like the oddsmakers looked at previous finishes and posted the odds as such. Mears has been driving really good this year, and has the superior car in this matchup.
Martin -115 over Stenhouse
Stenhouse hasn't performed like I thought he would this year. He's struggled this year at times keeping up...Last 10 races Martin averages 13th place finish and has 6 top 10's here. Also, if Martin runs great in practice and qualifying, and Stenhouse struggles they may post odds like Stenhouse +130 on Saturday.
GL to everyone this week
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I won't go into detail...lets just say we got some noise complaints at the hotel but we got the overnight front desk guy wasted in exchange for letting us party.
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