I'm excellent fade material- here are my early pick winner plays:
Johnson +450 (2) Martin +725 (2) Burton +1000 (1) Stewart +1500 (1.5)
I obviously like the two Hendrick cars, with a slight edge to Mark. That #5 just can't buy a break, but they don't seem to show any signs of slowing down.
Taking a swing at Burton and Smoke. Burton was 2nd in last fall's race here, and Stewart was 2nd in the spring race. I have not been too high on Stewart in 2010, but I think he could be a contender this week.
Matchups to come.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'm excellent fade material- here are my early pick winner plays:
Johnson +450 (2) Martin +725 (2) Burton +1000 (1) Stewart +1500 (1.5)
I obviously like the two Hendrick cars, with a slight edge to Mark. That #5 just can't buy a break, but they don't seem to show any signs of slowing down.
Taking a swing at Burton and Smoke. Burton was 2nd in last fall's race here, and Stewart was 2nd in the spring race. I have not been too high on Stewart in 2010, but I think he could be a contender this week.
I just went through my spreadsheet, and I'm actually not as bad off as I thought I was. In the four races I've played, I've hit the winner twice. Johnson at +500 at California and Kurt at Atlanta at +1400 for +24 units. But then I missed waking up in time to put plays down on Bristol, so I felt the need to make it up at Martinsville with 2 10 unit plays on Martin +1500 and Montoya +1600. That didn't go well.
This is my first swing at this, so my unit amounts are pretty small. However, I'm somewhat of a Nascar fantasy stat person, so I do put a fair amount of thinking into my picks.
-14.6 units on the year.
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I just went through my spreadsheet, and I'm actually not as bad off as I thought I was. In the four races I've played, I've hit the winner twice. Johnson at +500 at California and Kurt at Atlanta at +1400 for +24 units. But then I missed waking up in time to put plays down on Bristol, so I felt the need to make it up at Martinsville with 2 10 unit plays on Martin +1500 and Montoya +1600. That didn't go well.
This is my first swing at this, so my unit amounts are pretty small. However, I'm somewhat of a Nascar fantasy stat person, so I do put a fair amount of thinking into my picks.
Bowyer over Hamlin -140 (10) Montoya over Kenseth -110 (2) Montoya over Jr EV (2) Burton over Gordon +110 (2)
Hamlin isn't going to finish this race, and that car is going down laps during the driver change. Does this line make sense to anyone? As I was filling in my bets it actually dropped from -115 to -140, but shouldn't they have just taken it off the board? On bookmaker.
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Matchups:
Bowyer over Hamlin -140 (10) Montoya over Kenseth -110 (2) Montoya over Jr EV (2) Burton over Gordon +110 (2)
Hamlin isn't going to finish this race, and that car is going down laps during the driver change. Does this line make sense to anyone? As I was filling in my bets it actually dropped from -115 to -140, but shouldn't they have just taken it off the board? On bookmaker.
I hope some of you guys took notice of the terrible line at Bookmaker! Hamlin vs. either Bowyer or Harvick!
To win: Johnson +450 (2) Martin +725 (2) Burton +1000 (1) Stewart +1500
(1.5)
Matchups: Bowyer over Hamlin -140 (10) Montoya over Kenseth -110 (2) Montoya over Jr EV (2) Burton over Gordon +110 (2) Harvick over Hamlin -125 (1.79) <--added right before the race after I saw they weren't taking the Hamlin line down. I knew that I should have unloaded on this harder, but I thought there might be something I didn't know lol. I feel like this line was even more of a gift than the Logano vs. Gilliland line earlier this year.
Phoenix +4.25 units
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I hope some of you guys took notice of the terrible line at Bookmaker! Hamlin vs. either Bowyer or Harvick!
To win: Johnson +450 (2) Martin +725 (2) Burton +1000 (1) Stewart +1500
(1.5)
Matchups: Bowyer over Hamlin -140 (10) Montoya over Kenseth -110 (2) Montoya over Jr EV (2) Burton over Gordon +110 (2) Harvick over Hamlin -125 (1.79) <--added right before the race after I saw they weren't taking the Hamlin line down. I knew that I should have unloaded on this harder, but I thought there might be something I didn't know lol. I feel like this line was even more of a gift than the Logano vs. Gilliland line earlier this year.
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