LAC +1: 150(Gah, very unlucky outcome for me, very lucky outcome for DAL backers...Griffin should have web gem of the night, got effed...oh well it happens)
MIN -1: 250(should have went bigger. I like them over LAL tonight, but I wont touch with the history)
BOS -2: 250(J.R. Smith...where you been homie)
Ah, sigh...will not be taking that vacation any time soon after the last week of play. Going like 30% and dropped 1K over that span. I'm far from down, never out. Anomalies, anomalies...tonight I'm going pretty decent across the board to start moving in the right direction. I wont tilt, no 10 unit single plays, but I'm going to have at least 10 total out there tonight.
Leaning BOS, MIL, OKC, POR, LAC.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Booked 3/26/13
LAC +1: 150(Gah, very unlucky outcome for me, very lucky outcome for DAL backers...Griffin should have web gem of the night, got effed...oh well it happens)
MIN -1: 250(should have went bigger. I like them over LAL tonight, but I wont touch with the history)
BOS -2: 250(J.R. Smith...where you been homie)
Ah, sigh...will not be taking that vacation any time soon after the last week of play. Going like 30% and dropped 1K over that span. I'm far from down, never out. Anomalies, anomalies...tonight I'm going pretty decent across the board to start moving in the right direction. I wont tilt, no 10 unit single plays, but I'm going to have at least 10 total out there tonight.
MIL +1 (probably gonna bang this one, two teams moving in opposite directions and MIL owns it this year)
BOS -2.5 (No Dion Waiters/Kyrie Irving vs. an angry boston = blowout IMO)
OKC -14 (With all of those injuries the wiz can beat a MEM team without Gasol at home...now way can they hang with OKC on the road who is trying to get that #1 seed)
DEN +7 (IF Lawson is playing)
MIA -5 (If Wade plays and Noah is out/not feeling 100%)
LAC -6 (I dunno, I can see Boston handling their B2B...can CP3 do it twice in a row? May be too risky)
IND +5 (Love this spot for indy to pound. Hansborough has got this one)
POR -2.5 (If Joe Johnson is out and Aldrege plays)
Thoughts and comments always welcomed. Going to narrow this down to 3-4 of my best plays. Trust me, nobody wants to win tonight more than me. If youve tailed me the last few days we've lost a good amount of cash together, if youre down to ride...I'll show you how to not panic and get it all back and then some.
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Strong leans 3/27/13
MIL +1 (probably gonna bang this one, two teams moving in opposite directions and MIL owns it this year)
BOS -2.5 (No Dion Waiters/Kyrie Irving vs. an angry boston = blowout IMO)
OKC -14 (With all of those injuries the wiz can beat a MEM team without Gasol at home...now way can they hang with OKC on the road who is trying to get that #1 seed)
DEN +7 (IF Lawson is playing)
MIA -5 (If Wade plays and Noah is out/not feeling 100%)
LAC -6 (I dunno, I can see Boston handling their B2B...can CP3 do it twice in a row? May be too risky)
IND +5 (Love this spot for indy to pound. Hansborough has got this one)
POR -2.5 (If Joe Johnson is out and Aldrege plays)
Thoughts and comments always welcomed. Going to narrow this down to 3-4 of my best plays. Trust me, nobody wants to win tonight more than me. If youve tailed me the last few days we've lost a good amount of cash together, if youre down to ride...I'll show you how to not panic and get it all back and then some.
MIL +1 (probably gonna bang this one, two teams moving in opposite directions and MIL owns it this year)
BOS -2.5 (No Dion Waiters/Kyrie Irving vs. an angry boston = blowout IMO)
OKC -14 (With all of those injuries the wiz can beat a MEM team without Gasol at home...now way can they hang with OKC on the road who is trying to get that #1 seed)
DEN +7 (IF Lawson is playing)
MIA -5 (If Wade plays and Noah is out/not feeling 100%)
LAC -6 (I dunno, I can see Boston handling their B2B...can CP3 do it twice in a row? May be too risky)
IND +5 (Love this spot for indy to pound. Hansborough has got this one)
POR -2.5 (If Joe Johnson is out and Aldrege plays)
Thoughts and comments always welcomed. Going to narrow this down to 3-4 of my best plays. Trust me, nobody wants to win tonight more than me. If youve tailed me the last few days we've lost a good amount of cash together, if youre down to ride...I'll show you how to not panic and get it all back and then some.
What's up Forbes?
I tailed you Monday night and lost a good proportion of my bankroll. My fault not yours but Denver laying an egg in New Orleans really hurt...
That being said I like the Boston and Portland pick..
I like the Rockets at home and CP3 had an unreal game last night. Don't know if he can follow it up again tonight so I won't be touching LAC game. If I do..my lean is on the Hornets.
OKC/Miami game is too risky IMO...but wth, I'll tail you tonight.
Lets get it.
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Quote Originally Posted by TheForbes777:
Strong leans 3/27/13
MIL +1 (probably gonna bang this one, two teams moving in opposite directions and MIL owns it this year)
BOS -2.5 (No Dion Waiters/Kyrie Irving vs. an angry boston = blowout IMO)
OKC -14 (With all of those injuries the wiz can beat a MEM team without Gasol at home...now way can they hang with OKC on the road who is trying to get that #1 seed)
DEN +7 (IF Lawson is playing)
MIA -5 (If Wade plays and Noah is out/not feeling 100%)
LAC -6 (I dunno, I can see Boston handling their B2B...can CP3 do it twice in a row? May be too risky)
IND +5 (Love this spot for indy to pound. Hansborough has got this one)
POR -2.5 (If Joe Johnson is out and Aldrege plays)
Thoughts and comments always welcomed. Going to narrow this down to 3-4 of my best plays. Trust me, nobody wants to win tonight more than me. If youve tailed me the last few days we've lost a good amount of cash together, if youre down to ride...I'll show you how to not panic and get it all back and then some.
What's up Forbes?
I tailed you Monday night and lost a good proportion of my bankroll. My fault not yours but Denver laying an egg in New Orleans really hurt...
That being said I like the Boston and Portland pick..
I like the Rockets at home and CP3 had an unreal game last night. Don't know if he can follow it up again tonight so I won't be touching LAC game. If I do..my lean is on the Hornets.
OKC/Miami game is too risky IMO...but wth, I'll tail you tonight.
im like atlanta at toronto. also liking the celtics after getting blownout. i had the over they score 32 pts in the 4th qtr wtf. i also had la clippers they blew the game .barnes especially. lakers need to win and trends favor them and im riding the heat
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im like atlanta at toronto. also liking the celtics after getting blownout. i had the over they score 32 pts in the 4th qtr wtf. i also had la clippers they blew the game .barnes especially. lakers need to win and trends favor them and im riding the heat
Alright alright broke it down, and had a lot of work to do during the day. I'm rolling pretty decent, but smarter than I have the last week.
In my mind I am convinced that BOS and MIL will most definitely win. We have two playoff bound teams jockeying for position. Boston in this spot is safer than Fort Knox, and MIL owns the 76ers this season. And they're better than the first 3 times they beat them!
MIA...they should live up to the hype on this one. Big game, big results. Even if the Bulls were at home against the Knicks -6 I'd take the knicks. MIA is the best in the leaugue they will get owned. OKC is going to blow out WIZ. Injury plagued WIZ can beat a shorthanded immature MEM at HOME, but not a fully rested, healthy Title contender on the road. Blow out city...Russell Westbrook is going to show John Wall a few things tonight. Portland just has the matchup at home vs. BKN. I dont know why, but brooklyn just cant do it in Portland. Also, I feel very strongly that if Portland was in the Eastern conference they'd be a 4-8 seed right now.
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Alright alright broke it down, and had a lot of work to do during the day. I'm rolling pretty decent, but smarter than I have the last week.
In my mind I am convinced that BOS and MIL will most definitely win. We have two playoff bound teams jockeying for position. Boston in this spot is safer than Fort Knox, and MIL owns the 76ers this season. And they're better than the first 3 times they beat them!
MIA...they should live up to the hype on this one. Big game, big results. Even if the Bulls were at home against the Knicks -6 I'd take the knicks. MIA is the best in the leaugue they will get owned. OKC is going to blow out WIZ. Injury plagued WIZ can beat a shorthanded immature MEM at HOME, but not a fully rested, healthy Title contender on the road. Blow out city...Russell Westbrook is going to show John Wall a few things tonight. Portland just has the matchup at home vs. BKN. I dont know why, but brooklyn just cant do it in Portland. Also, I feel very strongly that if Portland was in the Eastern conference they'd be a 4-8 seed right now.
You know, on the LAL play I cannot understand how they have won all of the last matchups but are just absolutely terrible against the spread. yesterday I was dead set on playing MIN as they are as close to healthy as they can be, and at home, and they're riding high. Plus LAL just doesn't do it for me....
...BUT fighting for his playoff life I wouldnt bet against Kobe. No touch for me. GL errbody.
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You know, on the LAL play I cannot understand how they have won all of the last matchups but are just absolutely terrible against the spread. yesterday I was dead set on playing MIN as they are as close to healthy as they can be, and at home, and they're riding high. Plus LAL just doesn't do it for me....
...BUT fighting for his playoff life I wouldnt bet against Kobe. No touch for me. GL errbody.
I'm very confident on that parlay by the way, i just needed to reduce my risk to reward ratio on units I have out there. I personally lost 45% of my March profits in 7 days and I'm trying to reasonably get them back.
Lets ride.
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I'm very confident on that parlay by the way, i just needed to reduce my risk to reward ratio on units I have out there. I personally lost 45% of my March profits in 7 days and I'm trying to reasonably get them back.
Sorry to say but you may lose some more units tonight. 80% is on the celtics yet then line went down. Do you know what that means?
Also close to 80% on Milwaukee and the line went down. Philly has put together a little streak at home lately against some tough teams.
Because Of the reverse line movement I am putting 1 unit on each dog. Otherwise I would stay away from both
Cleveland +3 1 unit philly +1.5 1 unit
We'll see if you're right. According to your method these teams will win based on line movement:
CLE (20% side-23% money) .5 movement ORL (56% side - 54% money) 1.5 movement PHI (30% side - no money info, hmmm) no movement MEM (29% side - no money) LAC (60% side- only 18% money, money talks) .5 movement IND, CHI, WIZ, SA, UTAH, POR (I just got lazy)
Ok, we'll see how that rolls. You're assuming that regardless of line movement that Boston cant win by 3 or more, MIA cant blow out CHI, OKC cant beat wiz by 20+, and MIL and Portland basically cannot win outright. I'm saying they can, if I lose all 3 I'll switch methods to adjust to this theory.
I'm not in any way being a smart mouth either, I will seriously adapt this model into my daily activity. Lets see. I'm already locked and loaded and only the basketball Gods (and my own system) can save me now. GL errbody.
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Quote Originally Posted by Sportdinaco:
Sorry to say but you may lose some more units tonight. 80% is on the celtics yet then line went down. Do you know what that means?
Also close to 80% on Milwaukee and the line went down. Philly has put together a little streak at home lately against some tough teams.
Because Of the reverse line movement I am putting 1 unit on each dog. Otherwise I would stay away from both
Cleveland +3 1 unit philly +1.5 1 unit
We'll see if you're right. According to your method these teams will win based on line movement:
CLE (20% side-23% money) .5 movement ORL (56% side - 54% money) 1.5 movement PHI (30% side - no money info, hmmm) no movement MEM (29% side - no money) LAC (60% side- only 18% money, money talks) .5 movement IND, CHI, WIZ, SA, UTAH, POR (I just got lazy)
Ok, we'll see how that rolls. You're assuming that regardless of line movement that Boston cant win by 3 or more, MIA cant blow out CHI, OKC cant beat wiz by 20+, and MIL and Portland basically cannot win outright. I'm saying they can, if I lose all 3 I'll switch methods to adjust to this theory.
I'm not in any way being a smart mouth either, I will seriously adapt this model into my daily activity. Lets see. I'm already locked and loaded and only the basketball Gods (and my own system) can save me now. GL errbody.
Forbes, I respect your plays and look at your picks daily. I am just saying that the line movement is def a key ingredient when I make my plays. It does not always play out that way but I do factor it in. I have made a good amount of money going to other way when betting is heavy on one side. GL and hope your plays hit
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Forbes, I respect your plays and look at your picks daily. I am just saying that the line movement is def a key ingredient when I make my plays. It does not always play out that way but I do factor it in. I have made a good amount of money going to other way when betting is heavy on one side. GL and hope your plays hit
I also factor in that it is very hard for a team to sweep a season series from another no matter how crappy they are. Teams get up for avoiding the sweep and if you look at the stats a season sweep is very rare.
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I also factor in that it is very hard for a team to sweep a season series from another no matter how crappy they are. Teams get up for avoiding the sweep and if you look at the stats a season sweep is very rare.
Sportdinaco, good night for you my man. Much respect brotha!
Not so hot for me as I got swept for 12 units and some juice. Well, I SHOULD have taken vacation, but now I'm working overtime.
CLE (20% side-23% money) .5 movement ORL (56% side - 54% money) 1.5 movement PHI (30% side - no money info, hmmm) no movement MEM (29% side - no money) NO (40% side- only 82% money, money talks) .5 movement IND, CHI, WIZ, SA, UTAH, POR (I just got lazy)
No line movement on ATL game. RLM theory debunked. Maybe it's a good tool, but I'm off of its validity.
Only a poosy would ball up like a betch and quit now...what was once +2800 this month has quickly turned into just a little over 800. Well...I said I'm shooting for a 10K april, here we go.
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Sportdinaco, good night for you my man. Much respect brotha!
Not so hot for me as I got swept for 12 units and some juice. Well, I SHOULD have taken vacation, but now I'm working overtime.
CLE (20% side-23% money) .5 movement ORL (56% side - 54% money) 1.5 movement PHI (30% side - no money info, hmmm) no movement MEM (29% side - no money) NO (40% side- only 82% money, money talks) .5 movement IND, CHI, WIZ, SA, UTAH, POR (I just got lazy)
No line movement on ATL game. RLM theory debunked. Maybe it's a good tool, but I'm off of its validity.
Only a poosy would ball up like a betch and quit now...what was once +2800 this month has quickly turned into just a little over 800. Well...I said I'm shooting for a 10K april, here we go.
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(Gah, very unlucky outcome for me, very lucky outcome for DAL backers...Griffin should have web gem of the night, got effed...oh well it happens)
(should have went bigger. I like them over LAL tonight, but I wont touch with the history)
) can save me now. GL errbody. 
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