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Hope everyone had a great Christmas and cashed in some tickets! I’m currently on a 3-day streak with NBA Prop Bets and up +18.1u!
Here are today’s free picks to help you keep rolling:
Deandre Ayton: Over 3.5 1Q Points
- Hit Rate: 80% this season
- Recent Performance: 100% in the last 5 games. Averaging 9 minutes per 1Q this year, with occasional full-quarter play.
- Matchup: Utah Jazz are 28th in points allowed as a team and 20th in points allowed against centers. Ayton has crushed this line head-to-head against the Jazz, putting up 8 points (1Q) in 2/4 matchups and 4 points (1Q) against them on 12/06.
- Why I Love This Pick: Ayton has been consistently hitting this line, and the Jazz’s defense makes this an easy opportunity to cash!
Ochai Agbaji: Over 2.5 Rebounds
- Hit Rate: 73% this season
- Recent Performance: 100% against the Grizzlies, averaging 4.33 rebounds in their last 3 matchups. Logging 30.6 minutes per game this season.
- Matchup: Agbaji is averaging 8.4 rebound chances per game, converting ~65%. Memphis is bottom 10 in the league for rebounds allowed to shooting guards, and Agbaji has been efficient with his rebound chances. Plus, with 30+ minutes per game, he has plenty of time to hit this line.
- Why We’re Locking It In: Agbaji has been steady on the boards, and Memphis has struggled against shooting guards. With his consistent minutes, this is a solid spot for a rebound boost!
Want more winning picks, expert analysis, and community insights? Join my new community on Discord! I post exclusive daily picks, detailed breakdowns, wins, and more.
Let’s lock in and cash out!
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