7.58 points per minute

For an o364.

GL

@FredLeonard

Down to 358 now. 

356 now

Should be a defensive slugfest 

it's 356 on FD as we speak

I see 355.5 right now at Caesars.  Dropping like a rock. 

Try 352 now.  That is a 12 point stream. I never seen anything like that before. Not this many points on a basketball total anyway. 

Defensive slugfest tonight. 117-114 east wins 

Total final now is 351.5

@wantwinners

 353.5 Now WTF at DraftKings 

Not sure why it dropped so much I didn't watch the game but congrats over backers.  397 points lol.

What drove the number down so much?

Were people really pounding the under? 

Very good question. It was odd as fuck that is for sure.

I'm starting to think oddsmakers are idiots they just use computers to generate lines.  Every night the -5 favorite wins by 20+ or the +11 dog wins outright.  I don't know how to beat the system but my best advice is only bet what you can afford to lose.  Gambling ruined my life financially but if it wasn't for gambling I wouldn't have met some great ppl. GL tonight.

NBA is disgusting 

@FredLeonard

 Hey Fred,

 I respectfully disagree. Oddsmakers try to make lines where they can make money. They try to have the public and the professional bettors on opposite sides.

The professional bettors, people with big bets, got this one way wrong. It happens and when it does, the public usually wins big! Seeing a total go up to 365.5 and dip all the way to 354 or so had people saying “I have to take the Under.” 

Secondly, this format of four quarters hasn’t been played since 2017. The Elam Ending was used between 2018-2023. So Vegas had to cap a game that didn’t have history in the last 7 years. The Elam Ending was there to produce defense in the “fourth quarter” BUT if the game isn’t close the players don’t care. Obviously, the players don’t care and just want to be healthy. 

I CRUSH this Over every year! It is usually my most profitable weekend in the calendar year. I made $3700.00 taking the Over, Maxey/AD/LBJ/KD parlayed under their point total, Dame to win the 3 point title, and KAT/Dame/Halliburton parlayed to score 24 plus in the first round of the 3 point shootout. When there is an opportunity, you have to take it and trust your instinct. 

Next year, this total will open at like 385. The three point shooting, the open dunks, and some players offensively going hard (KAT, Brown, Lillard) and some guys loafing (Doncic, Jokic, LeBron) show opportunities to pounce. All Star Weekend is now about the 3 Point Shootout.

Remember, it’s an exhibition. Vegas isn’t getting a ton of action on this so they don’t mind the small loss for Average Joes like me who slam the over. Hope my insight is appreciated. Be well brother.

@Moose1986

 You make some valid points.  Touche.

@Moose1986

 zero chance the nba allows the same product they did this year.  they will do something to prevent that debacle from reoccuring.