Posted:
#1
I’m playing on San Antonio and OKC to finish UNDER the total. The opening games of the Eastern and the Western Conference Finals had some similarities. In both cases, the home team won and covered. Also, in both cases, the game finished well below the total. However, as we saw last night in the East, that doesn’t mean we need to expect Game 2 to also be high-scoring.
Game 2 in the East saw 33 fewer points scored than Game 1. As was the case last night, we’re getting a higher O/U line to work with for tonight’s game than we were for Game 1 of this series. While the combined score may not drop 30+ points again, I expect Game 2 of this series to also prove lower scoring than the opener.
After OKC’s defensive struggles in Game 1, we may see more time from rookie center Steven Adams, as Brooks may look to a bigger lineup to try and slow down the Spurs. Either way, while the Spurs are obviously pretty tough to stop, I believe we’ll see a much better defensive effort from the Thunder tonight. Prior to Game 1 of this series, the Thunder had seen their final three games against the Clippers all stay below the total. Obviously the Ibaka injury doesn’t help - however, I still believe this team is more capable defensively than most probably do. Note that the UNDER is 12-8/60% the last 20 times that they were off a double-digit loss.
With such a high O/U number, note that the UNDER is 8-1 the last nine times that the Spurs played a home game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. During that time, the Thunder have seen the UNDER go 7-4 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. Going back further and we find the UNDER at 12-6-1 OKC's last 19 in that situation. Meanwhile, if we go back still further we find the UNDER at 20-9 the last 29 times that the Spurs played a home game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. I feel this number is generously high and I expect those stats to improve tonight.
best bet!
??$$$$$$$$$$$$
Game 2 in the East saw 33 fewer points scored than Game 1. As was the case last night, we’re getting a higher O/U line to work with for tonight’s game than we were for Game 1 of this series. While the combined score may not drop 30+ points again, I expect Game 2 of this series to also prove lower scoring than the opener.
After OKC’s defensive struggles in Game 1, we may see more time from rookie center Steven Adams, as Brooks may look to a bigger lineup to try and slow down the Spurs. Either way, while the Spurs are obviously pretty tough to stop, I believe we’ll see a much better defensive effort from the Thunder tonight. Prior to Game 1 of this series, the Thunder had seen their final three games against the Clippers all stay below the total. Obviously the Ibaka injury doesn’t help - however, I still believe this team is more capable defensively than most probably do. Note that the UNDER is 12-8/60% the last 20 times that they were off a double-digit loss.
With such a high O/U number, note that the UNDER is 8-1 the last nine times that the Spurs played a home game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. During that time, the Thunder have seen the UNDER go 7-4 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. Going back further and we find the UNDER at 12-6-1 OKC's last 19 in that situation. Meanwhile, if we go back still further we find the UNDER at 20-9 the last 29 times that the Spurs played a home game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. I feel this number is generously high and I expect those stats to improve tonight.
best bet!
??$$$$$$$$$$$$
0
over is the play gl
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