+6 seems a bit high. I had +2.5 to +3.5 considering it’s the playoffs. Sprinkling a little on the ML also.
Key advantages for Memphis: Defense (Dame shot 3-16 behind the arc vs 2 Memphis games), Memphis Offense vs Port Swiss Cheese Defense in the paint- Jackson being out not a factor), Playoff Environment...should be a close game throughout.
Memphis +6 (5U)
Memphis ML +200 (1U)
line moved from -4 1/2 to 6. Very hard to believe it will go back but so much. People really dont believe in Memphis and see this as the game for Portland to dominate and get ready for Lakers.
I like Memphis but will watch spread this afternoon. Jackson was a big part of last time they played h2h.
This will be the only game that night which usually means it will gather public money towards the favorite. Dame's incredible performances will magnify this as he will likely win bubble mvp; Memphis story is they are limping into this game. Also the spread may be tied to parlays from today and be the last leg so could start moving up sooner. Sharps may make it drop .5 from time to time
HIGHLY doubt that spread drops to five. Will probably shoot as high as 7. Jackson is not a huge miss for this particular matchup. He scored only 6 pts the first time they faced and Memphis comfortably controlled that game.
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