Hi everyone, I've been betting NBA for 3 years since i came to the states. I paid my tuition in the first year, but i'd been winning steadily ever since. From today i wanna share my thoughts with you guys and record my plays here. I usually make plays within 10 minutes before game time, so if you wanna follow please check the post before game time.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hi everyone, I've been betting NBA for 3 years since i came to the states. I paid my tuition in the first year, but i'd been winning steadily ever since. From today i wanna share my thoughts with you guys and record my plays here. I usually make plays within 10 minutes before game time, so if you wanna follow please check the post before game time.
CLE-OKC I kinda like OKC -15 here because they have lost 2 straight at home, and 15 is almost the max spread in NBA. But i don't like the line movement from 13.5 to 15. If there is no movement before game time I will most certainly not play it.
0
CLE-OKC I kinda like OKC -15 here because they have lost 2 straight at home, and 15 is almost the max spread in NBA. But i don't like the line movement from 13.5 to 15. If there is no movement before game time I will most certainly not play it.
GSW-CHI Im leaning GS cos -3.5 is kinda deep for away team especially against a tough bulls team at home. If bulls win the line should be close to pk even they played b2b.
0
GSW-CHI Im leaning GS cos -3.5 is kinda deep for away team especially against a tough bulls team at home. If bulls win the line should be close to pk even they played b2b.
PHX-UTAH I like PHX here cos they have lost 2 in a row at home, and Dragic is out (star out theory), while Jazz has been playing better. But one thing im concerned of is that Dragic is not a superstar like Lebron and many ppl think Suns are still way better than Jazz even if Dragic is out. I will probably make a play before game time.
0
PHX-UTAH I like PHX here cos they have lost 2 in a row at home, and Dragic is out (star out theory), while Jazz has been playing better. But one thing im concerned of is that Dragic is not a superstar like Lebron and many ppl think Suns are still way better than Jazz even if Dragic is out. I will probably make a play before game time.
For those who might be confused by my way of thinking: the way I bet is mostly down to the mind game with Vegas, so there is a lot reverse logic. I also analyze games from a basketball perspective, but it's not my major concern because anything can happen in the NBA and i believe the only way to beat Vegas is to beat them using their own weapons.
0
For those who might be confused by my way of thinking: the way I bet is mostly down to the mind game with Vegas, so there is a lot reverse logic. I also analyze games from a basketball perspective, but it's not my major concern because anything can happen in the NBA and i believe the only way to beat Vegas is to beat them using their own weapons.
I initially liked LAC but I checked the results and found that LAC have already beaten HOU twice this season. Both teams have been hot lately. Also its on ESPN so its more likely to be a rigged close game. Leaning HOU atm.
0
HOU - LAC
I initially liked LAC but I checked the results and found that LAC have already beaten HOU twice this season. Both teams have been hot lately. Also its on ESPN so its more likely to be a rigged close game. Leaning HOU atm.
Sorry I usually don't bet games between two shitty teams unless there is a significant line movement or something. If I must bet i will go with magic-4 because even for the shittiest team (76ers) in the NBA, -4 is a big number for another shitty team (magics) away from home.
0
Quote Originally Posted by somarnhoj:
Yysmer what you think about 76ers and magic
Sorry I usually don't bet games between two shitty teams unless there is a significant line movement or something. If I must bet i will go with magic-4 because even for the shittiest team (76ers) in the NBA, -4 is a big number for another shitty team (magics) away from home.
Leaning Brooklyn. -2 for a good home blazer team agaisnt a shitty nets team is way too short. It could be a reverse trap, but in that case the line will more likely be -3~-3.5. Again -2 is way too short.
0
BKN - POR
Leaning Brooklyn. -2 for a good home blazer team agaisnt a shitty nets team is way too short. It could be a reverse trap, but in that case the line will more likely be -3~-3.5. Again -2 is way too short.
Good luck with Houston tonight and welcome to Covers, represent!
Thank you! Looks like Nets is a loss. The mistake i made is that I only saw the short line but ignored the reverse line movement. Seems like these reverse movements are 90% reverse traps by Vegas this year. If Nets win it should be moved from +2 to +3 or 3.5 I think.
0
Quote Originally Posted by CoverMyLosses:
Good luck with Houston tonight and welcome to Covers, represent!
Thank you! Looks like Nets is a loss. The mistake i made is that I only saw the short line but ignored the reverse line movement. Seems like these reverse movements are 90% reverse traps by Vegas this year. If Nets win it should be moved from +2 to +3 or 3.5 I think.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.