Best way to beat the NBA? Focus on back to backs and teams with players out

First off, for those of you struggling in the NBA, if you do nothing but fade a team on the second end of a back to back you'll make money.  I find that the oddsmakers don't adjust these lines enough.  They'll move em by like 3 points.  In reality, teams are performing 10-15 points worse on these back to backs on a regular basis.  GS would have won tonight on extra rest.  They just ran out of gas.

Also, focus on fading teams with injuries who haven't had many games to adjust.  Okc is playing its first game without George.  Line moved 4 points.  Sorry that's not enough!  They haven't played without him all year and are gonna be lost playing without him the first game at least.  Tonight you had Eric Gordon also out for Houston along with Faried.  That line was 9.5 earlier today.  Second end of a back to back.  Yes Miami played last night, but so did Houston and they were never gonna be motivated enough to blow the doors off them tonight. 

We'll see about Utah later tonight.  Second end of a back to back only getting 7.  Denver had a day off.  I don't understand that one personally.  Denver has won 20 of 21 at home or something crazy like that and it seems a bit odd that this would be the second one they lose.  Utah battled last night to win.  They've been awful on back to backs for the most part.

What I'm illustrating is this isn't all about x's and o's.  It's about situations.  I've just come to realize on back to backs and teams with guys sitting out are underperforming the odds adjustment.  Eric Gordon to me sitting out tonight was worth more than just a couple points.  Close to about 7 or 8 honestly because they simply have no perimeter players to really replace him tonight.  You can't win in the NBA without a third scorer who's reliable. 

BTW, love Utah this weekend at home vs Milwaukee on Saturday.  Milwaukee plays on Friday night.  I can almost guarantee you they get fapped on Saturday if they win that one.  And I love Milwaukee.  And no doubt Milwaukee is a far superior team to Utah.  It's just about situations.  Teams on the second half of back to backs tend to just give up.  I don't believe enough bettors are taking advantage of this.  You don't have to know anything!  Just fade teams on the second ends of back to backs.  The lines aren't adjusted enough.  They had GSW -4 at Portland on the second leg a few weeks ago.  That's completely moronic.  Denver would be -5.5 tonight vs Utah normally and it's only at 7 with the back to back . . instead of like 10.

The warriors fade tonight had more than players not playing.  Orlando had won 8 of 11 and beat some good teams in that run including at toronto.  but more importantly look at the all-stars schedule.  curry and thompson fly portland to charlotte.  BIG family weekend.  curry flies back to host education young men of color with obama and john legend in oakland.  then plays two games at home, fly back to charlotte.  barely cover there.  fly down to miami, lose.  and their fifth game in eight nights versus a jacked mediocre Orlando squad cathcing an uptick in their play.  Then you bet it, cross your fingers, find out Durant and Igoudala are out, line drops.  and win.   never easy.

The only way you are going to win in this sports is to focus on the defensive aspects of the team in question. Defense wins games. Defense covers spreads.

If a team wins a game 110-105, for example, don't think that the winning team scored 5 more points than the opponent. Always think the winning team allowed 5 less points than the opponent. If you have that mentality, you will come ahead in this sport.