Quote Originally Posted by ZonaCats:
you guys bashing are all retards, especially this FlyGuy clown.
BBall is a game of runs. There are plenty of lead changes. Gaining an edge by knowing that there is a correlation between winner of 1Q and covering full-game is HUGE.
Consistently winning during the playoffs of any sport when lines are sharpest is a very difficult thing to do. If this is was so obvious, then obviously you all are killing it too. GL and continue on.
U try and give people a free handout and they spit on it. Ridiculous. Reminds of me that time I gave a homeless guy my leftovers from a 4-star restuarant and he threw it to the ground and yelled "how can I buy crack with this?"
Have fun with your crack.
LMAO as a fan of live betting (or, in-game commercial break betting as 5dimes refers to it) I can totally see what you're saying and I do my best to take stabs at the live spread whenever I feel the wrong team went on a run. I've never tied it to the winner or coverer of the 1st quarter though, and I will now try it.
Probably can't test it fully tonight because its the girlfriend's birthday, but I will try! Luckily she just wants me to cook italian, and I have 4 living room TVs so she can watch whatever crappy ghost hunter stuff she wants while I get my gamble on. She got her birthday jewelry from my blackjack successes, so she will be cool with it :D
Basically, using tonight as an example, how's this for my comprehension of what you're saying:
1st quarter spread is Grizz -.5 so if the Grizz lead by anything at end of the 1st, they're the "jump on the good live spread/ML" team. With that notion in hand, wait for a time when the Clips go on a mini point fest (high shooting % or a couple dumb turnovers etc) and then a timeout/commercial break.
Clips little run has them up 8 points we will say. Live spread on the break is Grizz +6. JUMP ON IT and coast the rest of the game! If the Clips jump out even further, grab a +11 later to cover your less attractive +6.
I sorta did that through the Orlando series and the OKC/Dallas series, but without a basis for which team is the "right team" to jump on. I have no idea if this makes any sense but I will try to merge your stats and strategy with my "day trading" view of live betting.