Posted:
#1
Was at work chompin at the bit to get home to make my pick since my laptop died... 11-3 in last 4 nights - looking to keep it going.. (short write-up)
I think most of us are in agreement that Denver is the more talented team playing better at the right time. However, lets look at the trends in the HOME games for LAL -
Game 1 - Lakers win 105-103
>Nuggets shot 49% FG, 42% 3pt, and 37 boards while taking a +6 fast break differential. (Lakers Bench - 27pts / Denver Bench - 16pts)
Game 2 - Nuggets win 106-103
>Nuggets shot 44% FG, 33% 3pt, and 42 boards while giving -14 points in the paint to the LAL. (Lakers Bench - 22pts / Denver bench - 21pts)
I think the Lakers are tired but Kobe will carry the team. With the recent updates to injuries to Odem's back and Fisher's age (LOL), should contribute to a low scoring game but a LAL win to force a 7 game series. Also, Denver is playing GREAT basketball right now and they are the more physical team. Letting it ride on Denver (aka CASH COW) and putting my streak on the line of 11-3 in last 4 nights...
PREDICTION: LA LAKERS 104 DENVER 101
DENVER +6 (10u)
DENVER UNDER 209 (2u)
LAL -2.5 1Q (1u)
GL2U - Let's hope for a repeat performance!!!
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Playoff ATS Record:43-22 (66%)(+178 U)
*Moneylines: 0-1 (-1 unit) **(0%)**
*Parlay's: 3-4 (+57 units) **(43%)**
*Teasers: 4-3 (+2 units) **(57%)**
0
GL 
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