Chi may have beaten LA the last two meetings but I think they were a bit more healthy. Chi barely got by Utah and offensively they are a mess other than Belinelli who has 20+ points in 3 straight games for the first time in his career. Butler played Kobe well in the last meeting and I'm sure Kobe isn't having that a second time. While trends may point to Chi and Under I beg to differ. While LA may be one of the worst if not the worst free throw shooting team in the league at least they get to the line. LA has 444 ftm to Chicago's 206. They also shoot at a higher percentage. 47.6 to 42.5. With Howard in the picture there's also no guarantee that Chi will outrebound him even though they are the better rebounding team. While I don't normally cap referees I was wondering why LA would lay this much to Chicago so more interestingly I found that these refs favor home teams and overs.
Ken Mauer is 12-5 O/U from 195-204.5 and 13-6 for the fav from 5-9.5.
Michael Smith is 8-7 O/U and 9-5 for the fav.
Haywoode Workman is 5-6 O/U 12-8 for the fav.
There's one ref in here in huge favor of the Over and the fav and with the line dropping from 195 to 194 well before gametime this might be a good indication. Considering the magnitude of this game and all the others remaining for LA its hard for me to play under in this spot. Trends are just as hot for Overs as Unders with these two teams and the refs could be the difference in this game.
Over Lakers 194 Lakers -5.5
Just some insight and leans fellas as I expect this total to hit 193-193.5 and maybe lower.
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Chi may have beaten LA the last two meetings but I think they were a bit more healthy. Chi barely got by Utah and offensively they are a mess other than Belinelli who has 20+ points in 3 straight games for the first time in his career. Butler played Kobe well in the last meeting and I'm sure Kobe isn't having that a second time. While trends may point to Chi and Under I beg to differ. While LA may be one of the worst if not the worst free throw shooting team in the league at least they get to the line. LA has 444 ftm to Chicago's 206. They also shoot at a higher percentage. 47.6 to 42.5. With Howard in the picture there's also no guarantee that Chi will outrebound him even though they are the better rebounding team. While I don't normally cap referees I was wondering why LA would lay this much to Chicago so more interestingly I found that these refs favor home teams and overs.
Ken Mauer is 12-5 O/U from 195-204.5 and 13-6 for the fav from 5-9.5.
Michael Smith is 8-7 O/U and 9-5 for the fav.
Haywoode Workman is 5-6 O/U 12-8 for the fav.
There's one ref in here in huge favor of the Over and the fav and with the line dropping from 195 to 194 well before gametime this might be a good indication. Considering the magnitude of this game and all the others remaining for LA its hard for me to play under in this spot. Trends are just as hot for Overs as Unders with these two teams and the refs could be the difference in this game.
Over Lakers 194 Lakers -5.5
Just some insight and leans fellas as I expect this total to hit 193-193.5 and maybe lower.
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