Correlated Parlays for the last day

Long time no see fellows.

Gotta make some money on the last day. Let me know if the following parlay makes sense.

It all starts with the condition that Pels beating Lakers big (In order for Pels to avoid play-in, they need to win or Suns to lose)

Then score-watching Suns lose big to the Wolves knowing their game is meaningless and would rather prepare for the play-in on Tuesday. (Also, Wolves obviously have incentive to win)

And if OKC is beating the Mavs (who have nothing to play for) big, then the Nuggets are locked into the 3rd seed regardless of their outcome, so Nuggets loses ATS.

This leads to a four-game parlay of Pels W ATS (vs. Lakers), Wolves W ATS (vs. Suns), OKC W ATS (vs. Mavs), Memphis W ATS (vs. Nuggets)

Sure the first leg may be wrong (as the NBA does not want the Lakers to fall to the 10th seed, given that it's likely that Kings are likely to beat the Blazers and Warriors are likely to beat Utah), but if you are taking the Pels ATS then you might as well take parlay for extra? 

 And would there be any other correlated parlays?

 Thank you for sharing. 

All of these games are at the exact same time, so I don’t know how much scoreboard watching will be going on?

nice analysis...who wins tiebreaker if Wolves and OKC both win and end up 57-25 and have same 12-4 record in Division? 

@StraightWagers

 OKC wins the tiebreaker. And Nuggets loses the tiebreaker to either or both OKC and Wolves.

Thanks but can you explain to me how OKC would win the tiebreaker?

Denver has the worst chance cuz they have to win and both ok City and Minnesota lose another words they lose all tie breakers.  Minnesota wins all 2 way tie breakers vs Denver or OKC, and OKC wins tie breaker only vs Denver.  In the case of a 3 way tie breaker, this is where OKC can leapfrog Minnesota due to the different 3 way tie breaker as opposed to the direct 2 way tie breaker that benefits Minnesota 

@diondimucci

 Thanks for the clarifications. My bad on my answer to StraightWagers

Really weird line. Suns only 2 pt dogs vs twolves. Line should be higher if vegas is expecting suns to just fold and give Minnesota the win. 

And why parlay. Why not just bet singles? U get 1 wrong and u burn money. 

@jepjep02

 Parlay payouts are based on the assumption that game outcomes are independent from one another. But tomorrow some games are correlated. Say Pels are up big at halftime, then it's likely Suns pull out their starters and prepare for the play-in.