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dallas vs. okc

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
someone help me with this line, okc -2.5

okc was 5 pt fav the other night in oklahoma and dallas covered...just 2.5 difference from one home  court to the other...i dont get it
 
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Posted: #2
You don't get it because Vegas knows Dallas is going to win.

90% of the "public" didn't get it either when Indy was only 2.5 pt favorites at winless and hopeless Detroit the other night. And 90% of the "public" didn't get it on the Philly line in Utah for Utah's first win earlier in the week.

That SCREAMED Bomb Detroit, that also SCREAMED Bomb Utah....and this screams Bomb Dallas.

The line says everything you need to know.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
why wouldnt dallas be a favorite? usually about a 6-8 pt difference in the line from one home court to the other
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
i think the line is telling me to take OKC!
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
you can't just bet a line because you think you are reading it right....
 
Veteran
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Posted: #6
I have to reluctantly agree with PR9. When a line looks too good to be true, it's not often because the oddsmaker has goofed. Those guys are good.

I'm off that play.

Look at Minnesota for a chance to bet against the public.


 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
dallas got no choice then to win. i feel like thats disrespectful they underdog.. DEFENDING CHAMPION
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by PR9:

You don't get it because Vegas knows Dallas is going to win.

You've got it exactly backwards.  Flipping homecourt should change -5 at home to +2 on the road.  But OKC is -2.5, not +2. 

 
Captain
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Posted: #9

The reasons why there's not much of a change are (1) Dallas was desperate for its first win the last time these two teams played, (2) OKC could be expected to take Dallas lightly in the last game because OKC had already beaten Dallas twice in preseason and Dallas had been completely non-competitive in its first two games, and (3) after going down to the wire with Dallas last time, OKC may be a little better focused this time.

 
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Posted: #10
Anyone else notice OKC turned the ball over 27 TIMES when they last played Dallas? You think Westbrook is going to be a sack of crap again? Neither do I.  Not buying Dallas winning this one
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by npearl:

Anyone else notice OKC turned the ball over 27 TIMES when they last played Dallas? You think Westbrook is going to be a sack of crap again? Neither do I.  Not buying Dallas winning this one


Excuse me. I correct myself. 26 TIMES
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by PR9:

You don't get it because Vegas knows Dallas is going to win.

90% of the "public" didn't get it either when Indy was only 2.5 pt favorites at winless and hopeless Detroit the other night. And 90% of the "public" didn't get it on the Philly line in Utah for Utah's first win earlier in the week.

That SCREAMED Bomb Detroit, that also SCREAMED Bomb Utah....and this screams Bomb Dallas.

The line says everything you need to know.



you got it bruddah
 
Prospect
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by PR9:

You don't get it because Vegas knows Dallas is going to win.


So you are saying because an odds maker thinks Dallas is more likely to win, he is making Dallas more of an underdog? So they lose more money on Dallas, when they win??? Makes perfect sense.

Quote Originally Posted by PR9:


90% of the "public" didn't get it either when Indy was only 2.5 pt favorites at winless and hopeless Detroit the other night. And 90% of the "public" didn't get it on the Philly line in Utah for Utah's first win earlier in the week.

That SCREAMED Bomb Detroit, that also SCREAMED Bomb Utah....and this screams Bomb Dallas.

The line says everything you need to know.


Yes, there is a big difference here. 76ers & Indiana were expected to be bigger favorites and bookies offered softer lines than expected so people bet them.

With Dallas it's actually reversed here, people are thinking Dallas is expected to be more of a favorite than they actually are, so basically bookies are bagging for money on Dallas if you like this sort of thinking.

For the line looks completely fine, there are already reasons mentioned why there is not more of a difference between home/away line.
Mostly of course because OKC had a horrible schedule when they played Dallas, was 2nd b2b in 5 nights, with shitload of travelling. Now it's kind of reverse.
 
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by PR9:

 

You don't get it because Vegas knows Dallas is going to win.

90% of the "public" didn't get it either when Indy was only 2.5 pt favorites at winless and hopeless Detroit the other night. And 90% of the "public" didn't get it on the Philly line in Utah for Utah's first win earlier in the week.

That SCREAMED Bomb Detroit, that also SCREAMED Bomb Utah....and this screams Bomb Dallas.

The line says everything you need to know.


Told ya guys ;-)  .. this was such an easy call. Like taking candy from a baby.


   
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