Denver and Why

We have done good the last few nights - let's see if we can keep it going.    Let's look at some numbers:

       Milw       26

-3 Denvr       34

Denver opens up as 3 pt fav (madduxsports.com)  currently the same or possibly at 2.5.    I give Milw at rating of 26   and Denver 34 (lower the better).    On paper Milw would be the better team.  I wish it worked that way - take the better team on paper and we all win.   However, I guess it wouldn't be a challenge to figure it out.    I love the challenge of what we do.   Anyways my data says take the home team in these situations.   I'm riding with Denver -3.     

My Plays:

1.  Denver -3

2. Small small parlay - Brook +190 ml and Denver -3   pays 4.5 to 1   a couple of data points indicate brooklyn can win su - wouldn't go crazy - thus a small parlay.  

Good luck all 

@Capppro69

 Back at ya.

GL 

@Fuse

 Thanks Bud

@TheBuddah

 Let’s make it 3 in a row. 

@PerfectStorm

 Who you on Perfect Storm?

Gl

@PerfectStorm

Hope so ….. back at ya

@joeflaccid

 thanks and back at ya  

System hits again 

Denver comes home from a five game road trip and beats the brakes off the best team in the east by 20+ 

theres improbable and then there’s unbelievable 

Bucks were back to back and 3 in 4

Horrible spot

@smellybunty

 Excellent point 

@smellybunty

 Makes complete sense, however, hard to gauge from a betting perspective.    That's where the oddsmakers opening number comes into play.   They have their reasons why the line opened at -3 vice -3.5 or 5 or whatever.   Would love to know the exact weights they use to come up with the opening number.    We all speculate - even action, home court, ranks, sos, etc etc.    but don't know the exact weights of what they use to determine the opening line.   

@2goodhahaha

 Thanks Bud.

@Fuse

 Thanks bud.

@concavecapital

 Simply beautiful.   

Great picks man

@TheBuddah

@monkeebooger

@Brooklyncapper

 Thanks guys - much appreciated.