Finals Game 3 (293-221 YTD)

72-40 Playoffs

7-game win streak still alive

MAVS ML -120

Analysis later and may have a couple more plays...

@MrFreedo

 100% Agreed i might add Mavs ML x5 as my MAX play BOL Mr 

Love the play on it as well 

@westlake888

 do or die time for Mavs

@MrFreedo

 I like the play. This is going to be a long series.

Mavs are outclassed in this series imo. I don't see any reason to back the Mavs here, other than they are at home and it's a do or die game.

Celtics have too many scoring options, while the Mavs are struggling to find offense. Luka is carrying too much of the load and looks like he is tired/injured. Celtics have been getting good looks from 3, I believe they will hit a higher % the next game and even if they do not they still stand a good chance because the Mavs simply cannot keep up.

Already locked in Celtics +1.5 and will double up on G4 if they lose G3.

@CalBear2009

We've seen Boston play at home with a strong home court advantage, but now let's see what Dallas does at home for 2 games. Role players play much better at home, Dallas has bounced back every game off of a loss in the playoffs prior to last game (also one of the best to back after a loss all year), and I think we some progression from the Mavs offense. Kyrie and the Mavs 3-pt % should only have room for improvement at this point. I still don't trust Mazulla over Kidd with adjustments. I only played this for one unit but I feel like it is the only way I can look for a game 3 down 0-2. Boston has the better players and roster, but they are due for a loss and I game 3 sounds good to me.

I'm on Mavs -2  ,  GL MrFreedo 

Updated:

MAVS ML -120

MAVS 1H -2

Thoughts:

Post #7 gives a short analysis. I also like these trends:

Since 2003, teams down 0-2 that are home favorites in Game 3 are 6-0 SU. 

Since 2006, teams coming home for Game 3 off a road loss by more than five points in the Conference Finals or later are 19-6 ATS (76%) in the first half. 

Good luck Mr. F.  

Final Card:

MAVS ML -120

MAVS 1H -2

Gafford OVER Points & Rebounds 14.5

GLTA 

@MrFreedo

 This is good. Thanks for this.

hahaha like it let do today.

@MrFreedo

 Thank you for sharing your plays! GL!

@MrFreedo

 Good luck tonight!

Good luck on tonight's play MrFreedo.   

GL on your ML play @MrFreedo 

@MrFreedo

 That m/l is a bit higher now.

GL today.

Congrats Celtics backers. 

My winning streak ended today. We move on to the next one. 

It's been 34 days since the Celtics lost a game. Wow…