Team,
3-1 yesterday so coming back into a little form at last. Tried my best to wizzle (is that a word?) it down to as few bets as possible today with so many games but have ended with five that I like a lot.
Julius Randle Over 22.5 Points
Hoping to capitalise on the Wizards woeful defence here. They give up a whole lot of points to both the PF and C position and have basically no defence against guys like Randle who can bully their way to the rim. He had also scored 22+ in five games in a row prior to his 4-18 effort last game but that was against a much more disciplined and talented defensive unit in the Heat - don't think the Wizards will get the same result.
Kevin Huerter Over 13.5 Points
Hit with Kevin the other day and going for it again for the same reasons. Since Hunter's been out he's taken on a bigger role and is doing a great job - in his last four games he's had 21, 16, 19 and 23, and is taking 15-odd shots and hitting three's at a decent clip.
Lonzo Ball Over 13.5 Points
Lonzo does tend to get on streaks particularly with his shooting, and at the moment he is balling. He's passed this six games in a row now, and while granted he has been hitting his three at an unsustainable clip it hasn't been completely outrageous and he's scoring in a multitude of ways. Dallas' defence is a debacle at the moment and this should be close and high scoring so he should go comfortably past this again.
Al Horford Over 20.5 Points + Assists
Gilgeous-Alexander is out again, as is Theo Maledon (less important) which leaves OKC very thin in the facilitating and scoring department. Horford is playing like a guy on a team with no other options, and has taken 18+ shots in his last three games. If he does that again he'll probably pass this total on points alone, but I went for the points + assists because he's had 8 dimes in two of the three games recently which Shai has missed. In the last two of those his points + assists totals have been 33 and 34, while in the other it was 20. Denver should mow them but even if Horford sits the last I think he covers this courtesy purely of how much work he has to do on offence for them.
Gary Trent Jr Over 16.5 Points
Missed out on Gary the other day by the hook, but he has passed this in all of his last five games except for that one. He does obviously rely a lot on his three which I don't always love for a bet as everyone has off nights, but he's getting inside the arc too and taking a whole lot of shots. Also in his favour is that they are playing the Cavs, who are one of the worst teams at defending the three-ball in the league, so he should go for 20 or so IMO.
Good luck!
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