Philly has actually less shooting than a d - league team.Bayless,who is their best shooter is out.Saric actually is good on that(and he's going to become good for them,i followed him in euroleague last year), but i didn't see him too well in preseason,he clearly lacked confidence.Takes time to adjust to the game in NBA.
About shroder,if you see him play great today just dont rejoice,rodriguez is like the worst PG defender on the league now lol
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Wish you good luck man.
Philly has actually less shooting than a d - league team.Bayless,who is their best shooter is out.Saric actually is good on that(and he's going to become good for them,i followed him in euroleague last year), but i didn't see him too well in preseason,he clearly lacked confidence.Takes time to adjust to the game in NBA.
About shroder,if you see him play great today just dont rejoice,rodriguez is like the worst PG defender on the league now lol
Philly has actually less shooting than a d - league team.Bayless,who is their best shooter is out.Saric actually is good on that(and he's going to become good for them,i followed him in euroleague last year), but i didn't see him too well in preseason,he clearly lacked confidence.Takes time to adjust to the game in NBA.
About shroder,if you see him play great today just dont rejoice,rodriguez is like the worst PG defender on the league now lol
Well they don't play until Saturday. The Hawks first game is against Washington on Thursday,
and trust me, it's going to take a long stretch of good play before I start rejoicing about Schroder. The PG position is the one thing that scares me about this team. Can Schroder play under control and be consistent and can Malcom Delaney prove himself to be a NBA caliber player.
Otherwise, this is the deepest team that Bud has had at the other 4 positions. The Hawks are stacked in the frontcourt and the rookies look like they can make an impact this year on the wings. Kover and Thabo coming in to the year with a fully healthy summer should be make a huge difference.
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Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:
Wish you good luck man.
Philly has actually less shooting than a d - league team.Bayless,who is their best shooter is out.Saric actually is good on that(and he's going to become good for them,i followed him in euroleague last year), but i didn't see him too well in preseason,he clearly lacked confidence.Takes time to adjust to the game in NBA.
About shroder,if you see him play great today just dont rejoice,rodriguez is like the worst PG defender on the league now lol
Well they don't play until Saturday. The Hawks first game is against Washington on Thursday,
and trust me, it's going to take a long stretch of good play before I start rejoicing about Schroder. The PG position is the one thing that scares me about this team. Can Schroder play under control and be consistent and can Malcom Delaney prove himself to be a NBA caliber player.
Otherwise, this is the deepest team that Bud has had at the other 4 positions. The Hawks are stacked in the frontcourt and the rookies look like they can make an impact this year on the wings. Kover and Thabo coming in to the year with a fully healthy summer should be make a huge difference.
Philly is below average at shooting the 3 and producing on the fast break. Atlanta will be able to sit back and clog the paint and force Philly to grind out their points. They will struggle to score efficiently against he Hawks stifling half court defense and should finish with under 90 points.
Philly team total under 98 LARGE
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Philly vs Atlanta
Philly is below average at shooting the 3 and producing on the fast break. Atlanta will be able to sit back and clog the paint and force Philly to grind out their points. They will struggle to score efficiently against he Hawks stifling half court defense and should finish with under 90 points.
While looking much improved under Joerger, the Kings are still pretty one-dimensional on offense. Just over half of their points come from the combo of Cousins and happy. They struggle to shoot the 3 and their bench is in serious need of offensive help. Collison's return in a week or two should help relieve some of these issues; however, he won't be available when they face the best half-court defense in the NBA tonight.
The Hawks are once again giving up the fewest amount of FTA's per game at 16.5. They do a great job of protecting the rim, without fouling, and forcing teams to beat them by making longer jumpshots. Now they actually have a center that can end the possession by securing the defensive rebound. Dwight's presence also gives his teammates a chance to conserve energy on effort spent towards rebounding which is huge.
There are only a handful of teams that will scare me away from taking the under on a team total line of 98 and Sacramento is not one of them. The play won't convert 100% of the time but I am confident that it will be a winning formula as long as the lines continue to be inflated above 95.
Sacramento Kings Team Total Under 98 MEDIUM
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Sacramento vs Atlanta
While looking much improved under Joerger, the Kings are still pretty one-dimensional on offense. Just over half of their points come from the combo of Cousins and happy. They struggle to shoot the 3 and their bench is in serious need of offensive help. Collison's return in a week or two should help relieve some of these issues; however, he won't be available when they face the best half-court defense in the NBA tonight.
The Hawks are once again giving up the fewest amount of FTA's per game at 16.5. They do a great job of protecting the rim, without fouling, and forcing teams to beat them by making longer jumpshots. Now they actually have a center that can end the possession by securing the defensive rebound. Dwight's presence also gives his teammates a chance to conserve energy on effort spent towards rebounding which is huge.
There are only a handful of teams that will scare me away from taking the under on a team total line of 98 and Sacramento is not one of them. The play won't convert 100% of the time but I am confident that it will be a winning formula as long as the lines continue to be inflated above 95.
I would add that the Kings have only faced one defense similar to the Hawks this year and it was San Antonio. In that game, Sacramento was only able to score 94 points while scoring 32 on FTs. It is highly unlikely that they get 38 FTA's vs Atlanta tonight.
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I would add that the Kings have only faced one defense similar to the Hawks this year and it was San Antonio. In that game, Sacramento was only able to score 94 points while scoring 32 on FTs. It is highly unlikely that they get 38 FTA's vs Atlanta tonight.
Some thoughts on the Hawks after 3 games against 3 lottery teams.
The BAD
-Kent Bazemore - He looks uncomfortable to start the year, like he's trying to prove that he was worth the contract. His shot is a bit off and he seems to be trying to force it in to rhythm which has lead to bad shots. He's shooting under 30% and his +/- after 3 games is an even 0.
-The 1/5 PnR. Under Bud, the Hawks have used the 1/5 PnR along with movement around it to initiate their offense. Dennis and Howard are really struggling in this area so far. It has led to Dennis over dribbling and wasted possessions. Forced shots at the end of the clock often lead to fast breaks for the other team.
-Getting Howard involved on offense. It's obvious that the Hawks aren't used to playing with a legit post player. There are a handful of opportunities for Howard to score under the basket that are missed each game due to missing the read or sending the pass late or inaccurately.
The GOOD
-The return of Korver and Thabo. Korver's offense and Thabo's defense were the true catalysts that made the Hawks elite on each side of the ball 2 years ago. They both struggled last season after spending the summer recovering from broken lower extremities. Both seem to be back to prime form so far.
Thabo has been the MVP of the Hawks through 3 games. He has a +/- of +58 while leading the league in FG% and steals per game. Thabo looks better than ever on offense while still providing elite defense. Korver is 9/15 from 3 and has expanded his game some. He has already made 5 two point baskets.
-Howard's presence on the boards and FT line - The Hawks have out-rebounded their opponent in every game this season and are 4th overall in rebound differential. Howard is averaging more offensive rebounds (5.7) than Horford is total rebounds (5.3). The Celtics suddenly find themselves struggling to secure rebounds and I expect this to be very obvious vs the Cavs on Thursday.
While only shooting 46% from the FT line, Howard's ability to draw fouls has been a nice change from Horford who would always shy away from contact. Howard is constantly putting pressure on the rim on both sides of the floor. Howard attempted more FTs vs the Kings than Horford did in 3 seperate months last season.
4th quarter defense
-They have really clamped down when it has mattered the most this season. They have given up 19, 14 and 14 points in the 4th quarter.
Future Outlook
-I do think the Hawks will be exposed on offense by veteran teams who play fundamentally sound defense. Teams like Cleveland, San Antonio and Toronto should give these current Hawks a lot of trouble and you should fade the Hawks vs these teams. Look to bet for the Hawks when they play undisciplined teams.
The good news is the Hawks have time to grow and figure things out since their first 19 games are loaded with lottery bound teams.
I will be ack in a bit with a Lakers writeup and probably a play on the Lakers Team Total Under. The Hawks are 3-0 vs the opponents team total line so far.
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Some thoughts on the Hawks after 3 games against 3 lottery teams.
The BAD
-Kent Bazemore - He looks uncomfortable to start the year, like he's trying to prove that he was worth the contract. His shot is a bit off and he seems to be trying to force it in to rhythm which has lead to bad shots. He's shooting under 30% and his +/- after 3 games is an even 0.
-The 1/5 PnR. Under Bud, the Hawks have used the 1/5 PnR along with movement around it to initiate their offense. Dennis and Howard are really struggling in this area so far. It has led to Dennis over dribbling and wasted possessions. Forced shots at the end of the clock often lead to fast breaks for the other team.
-Getting Howard involved on offense. It's obvious that the Hawks aren't used to playing with a legit post player. There are a handful of opportunities for Howard to score under the basket that are missed each game due to missing the read or sending the pass late or inaccurately.
The GOOD
-The return of Korver and Thabo. Korver's offense and Thabo's defense were the true catalysts that made the Hawks elite on each side of the ball 2 years ago. They both struggled last season after spending the summer recovering from broken lower extremities. Both seem to be back to prime form so far.
Thabo has been the MVP of the Hawks through 3 games. He has a +/- of +58 while leading the league in FG% and steals per game. Thabo looks better than ever on offense while still providing elite defense. Korver is 9/15 from 3 and has expanded his game some. He has already made 5 two point baskets.
-Howard's presence on the boards and FT line - The Hawks have out-rebounded their opponent in every game this season and are 4th overall in rebound differential. Howard is averaging more offensive rebounds (5.7) than Horford is total rebounds (5.3). The Celtics suddenly find themselves struggling to secure rebounds and I expect this to be very obvious vs the Cavs on Thursday.
While only shooting 46% from the FT line, Howard's ability to draw fouls has been a nice change from Horford who would always shy away from contact. Howard is constantly putting pressure on the rim on both sides of the floor. Howard attempted more FTs vs the Kings than Horford did in 3 seperate months last season.
4th quarter defense
-They have really clamped down when it has mattered the most this season. They have given up 19, 14 and 14 points in the 4th quarter.
Future Outlook
-I do think the Hawks will be exposed on offense by veteran teams who play fundamentally sound defense. Teams like Cleveland, San Antonio and Toronto should give these current Hawks a lot of trouble and you should fade the Hawks vs these teams. Look to bet for the Hawks when they play undisciplined teams.
The good news is the Hawks have time to grow and figure things out since their first 19 games are loaded with lottery bound teams.
I will be ack in a bit with a Lakers writeup and probably a play on the Lakers Team Total Under. The Hawks are 3-0 vs the opponents team total line so far.
The Sacramento under ended up being a little closer than I expected due to some hot shooting. Sac's bench made 7/15 from 3 pt range and the Kings shot 45% in between the restricted zone and 3 pt line. The Hawks lack of chemistry on offense is still putting the defense in precarious positions at times.
Lakers vs Atlanta
-The Lakers have been on the road since October 27th and will be flying back to LA after tonight's game. They are coming off a loss against Indiana last night where they showed some serious fight in the 2nd half. No Mozgov for tonight's game. The last thing a group of young guns wants to see in this situation is a disciplined stifling defense.
-The only comparable opponent the Lakers have faced is Utah. In that game, the Lakers scored 94 points while shooting well above their season average from 3 (39% vs 26%). Like Atlanta, Utah is active in denying the pass and this really seemed to give the young Lakers issues. Without being able to make the easy pass, the Lakers struggled to initiate their offense and ended up playing street ball often.
This video does a good job of showing some of the issues the Lakers faced against the Jazz
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6ACtxZwTso
Keys to the Game
-Howard should feast on the boards. Tarik Black will be the Lakers only hope and he is only 6'9" and used to playing 15 minutes per game.
-Slow down the Lakers guards and their offense will struggle. I don't see any reason why Bazemore and Thabo will not be able to do just that tonight.
Let's see if the Hawks can make it 4 straight games where they hold their opponent under the team total.
Lakers Team Total Under 98.5 AVERAGE
Lakers 1st Half Team Total Under 48.5 SMALL
Hawks -12-102 SMALL
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The Sacramento under ended up being a little closer than I expected due to some hot shooting. Sac's bench made 7/15 from 3 pt range and the Kings shot 45% in between the restricted zone and 3 pt line. The Hawks lack of chemistry on offense is still putting the defense in precarious positions at times.
Lakers vs Atlanta
-The Lakers have been on the road since October 27th and will be flying back to LA after tonight's game. They are coming off a loss against Indiana last night where they showed some serious fight in the 2nd half. No Mozgov for tonight's game. The last thing a group of young guns wants to see in this situation is a disciplined stifling defense.
-The only comparable opponent the Lakers have faced is Utah. In that game, the Lakers scored 94 points while shooting well above their season average from 3 (39% vs 26%). Like Atlanta, Utah is active in denying the pass and this really seemed to give the young Lakers issues. Without being able to make the easy pass, the Lakers struggled to initiate their offense and ended up playing street ball often.
This video does a good job of showing some of the issues the Lakers faced against the Jazz
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6ACtxZwTso
Keys to the Game
-Howard should feast on the boards. Tarik Black will be the Lakers only hope and he is only 6'9" and used to playing 15 minutes per game.
-Slow down the Lakers guards and their offense will struggle. I don't see any reason why Bazemore and Thabo will not be able to do just that tonight.
Let's see if the Hawks can make it 4 straight games where they hold their opponent under the team total.
The Lakers give up 24.5 ppg off of turnovers to opponents which is the worst in the league. Also 4th worst in fast break points allowed per game. Fast breaks often lead to Korver 3's and Korver has been money so far this year.
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Adding:
Korver over 10.5 points +115 SMALL
The Lakers give up 24.5 ppg off of turnovers to opponents which is the worst in the league. Also 4th worst in fast break points allowed per game. Fast breaks often lead to Korver 3's and Korver has been money so far this year.
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