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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Gambler's STRONG Plays For Thursday W/ Some AMAZING Stats

    bestgambler
    MrBator
    PistolPete21
    Crashdavis565
    andarmac99
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    bestgambler
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 5:34 PM ET #1

    I decided to do some extra research today to hopefully help myself and everyone else on here who will be betting tonight's games, here are some stats I found doing my own research which helped me on my wagers tonight ... GLTA!!

    Orl - 2.5/ Under 197 -
    5 out of 6 times when Dal plays 3 games in 4 nights with the 3rd game being at home this season went UNDER.

    7 of 11 times when Orl plays on the road with the line between 196-199 this season went UNDER. One of the games they hit 198 and the line was 196, I counted that as an Over of course but for todays line it can go either way.

    When playing after atleast 3-4 days rest (including All Star Break) Orl margin of victory is way over 10 pts.

    Denv - 5/Over 199

    4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

    8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.

    Use this to your own advantage, hopefully this homework pays off tonight, will be playing a 4 team parlay with those bets.

    GLTA!! 


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I decided to do some extra research today to hopefully help myself and everyone else on here who will be betting tonight's games, here are some stats I found doing my own research which helped me on my wagers tonight ... GLTA!!

    Orl - 2.5/ Under 197 -
    5 out of 6 times when Dal plays 3 games in 4 nights with the 3rd game being at home this season went UNDER.

    7 of 11 times when Orl plays on the road with the line between 196-199 this season went UNDER. One of the games they hit 198 and the line was 196, I counted that as an Over of course but for todays line it can go either way.

    When playing after atleast 3-4 days rest (including All Star Break) Orl margin of victory is way over 10 pts.

    Denv - 5/Over 199

    4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

    8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.

    Use this to your own advantage, hopefully this homework pays off tonight, will be playing a 4 team parlay with those bets.

    GLTA!! 


     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:16 PM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by bestgambler:


    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.



     

     

    Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

     

    beat Memphis, 133-123

    beat Toronto, 130-112

    beat New Jersey, 101-87

    beat Atlanta, 124-104

    beat Cleveland, 99-97

    beat Utah, 119-112

    beat Dallas, 127-91

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bestgambler:


    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.



     

     

    Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

     

    beat Memphis, 133-123

    beat Toronto, 130-112

    beat New Jersey, 101-87

    beat Atlanta, 124-104

    beat Cleveland, 99-97

    beat Utah, 119-112

    beat Dallas, 127-91

     

     
    PistolPete21
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:19 PM ET #3

    No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs.  By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips.  Nuggets are faced with the always-difficult first game at home after a long road trip.
    Reply
    No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs.  By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips.  Nuggets are faced with the always-difficult first game at home after a long road trip.
     
    PistolPete21
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:25 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

     

    beat Memphis, 133-123

    beat Toronto, 130-112

    beat New Jersey, 101-87

    beat Atlanta, 124-104

    beat Cleveland, 99-97

    beat Utah, 119-112

    beat Dallas, 127-91

     



    Also, the last game on that list was more than 2 months ago.  Things have changed quite a bit since.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

     

    beat Memphis, 133-123

    beat Toronto, 130-112

    beat New Jersey, 101-87

    beat Atlanta, 124-104

    beat Cleveland, 99-97

    beat Utah, 119-112

    beat Dallas, 127-91

     



    Also, the last game on that list was more than 2 months ago.  Things have changed quite a bit since.
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:30 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

    No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs? 

     

     

    No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

    No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs? 

     

     

    No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:37 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

      By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips. 

     

     

    That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

      By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips. 

     

     

    That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:40 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season with at least one day of rest following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

     

     

    I forgot a key phrase there!

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season with at least one day of rest following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

     

     

    I forgot a key phrase there!

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 8:45 PM ET #8

    PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.
    Reply
    PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.
     
    Crashdavis565
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:00 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.

    Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.

    Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

     

     
    Crashdavis565
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:07 PM ET #10

    I have had a nice run fading these Nuggets and never know when to get  off the fade bandwagon. I know the time is coming soon but who wants to miss that last bet. Going to ride it til it ends but will not make that big bet that has cost me in the past.

    Little ones until they win ......and then they win twice.

    Reply

    I have had a nice run fading these Nuggets and never know when to get  off the fade bandwagon. I know the time is coming soon but who wants to miss that last bet. Going to ride it til it ends but will not make that big bet that has cost me in the past.

    Little ones until they win ......and then they win twice.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:12 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

    Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

     

     

     

    As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

    Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

     

     

     

    As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

     
    Crashdavis565
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:18 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

    obviously- easy fade material

    looks like they get two homer refs of the three for what it is worth.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

    obviously- easy fade material

    looks like they get two homer refs of the three for what it is worth.

     
    andarmac99
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:19 PM ET #13

    Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

    Reply
    Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:21 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

     

     

    Ain't that always the way....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

    Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

     

     

    Ain't that always the way....

     
    krazylew
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 9:59 PM ET #15

    While we're on the subject of trends...here's more to consider.

    Since 12/22/10 after Joel Pryzbilla dislocated right knee, the Portland Trailblazers have won nine first quarters in a row coming off a back to back. They have beaten:

    12/23/09 @ San Antonio    
    POR   28       
    SA     24


    01/05/10 Memphis
    MEM     24     
    POR     25


    01/23/10 @ Detroit
    POR    32
    DET     21


    01/30/10 @ Dallas    
    POR    26     
    DAL     21

       
    02/04/10 San Antonio    
    SA        24
    POR     26

    02/10/10 @ Phoenix
    POR     30     
    PHO     20

    02/24/10 @ Toronto
    POR     32 
    TOR     24

    02/27/10 @ Minnesota
    POR    25
    MIN     23

    03/12/10 @ Sacramento
    POR     31
    SAC     24

    03/28/10 @ Oklahoma City
    POR     30 
    OKC     21
         
     
    Portland even beat OKC who were riding a nine game 1st Qtr winning streak at home. Best of luck with whatever you play.



    Reply
    While we're on the subject of trends...here's more to consider.

    Since 12/22/10 after Joel Pryzbilla dislocated right knee, the Portland Trailblazers have won nine first quarters in a row coming off a back to back. They have beaten:

    12/23/09 @ San Antonio    
    POR   28       
    SA     24


    01/05/10 Memphis
    MEM     24     
    POR     25


    01/23/10 @ Detroit
    POR    32
    DET     21


    01/30/10 @ Dallas    
    POR    26     
    DAL     21

       
    02/04/10 San Antonio    
    SA        24
    POR     26

    02/10/10 @ Phoenix
    POR     30     
    PHO     20

    02/24/10 @ Toronto
    POR     32 
    TOR     24

    02/27/10 @ Minnesota
    POR    25
    MIN     23

    03/12/10 @ Sacramento
    POR     31
    SAC     24

    03/28/10 @ Oklahoma City
    POR     30 
    OKC     21
         
     
    Portland even beat OKC who were riding a nine game 1st Qtr winning streak at home. Best of luck with whatever you play.



     
    K4ngur13
    K4ngur13
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2009
    Posts: 26212
    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 10:11 PM ET #16

    Good Luck
    Reply
    Good Luck
     
    bestgambler
    bestgambler
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 67
    Posted: Apr. 1, 2010 - 10:38 PM ET #17

    The extra homework paid off so  far 

    2 down 2 to go .. lets get emm!
    Reply
    The extra homework paid off so  far 

    2 down 2 to go .. lets get emm!
     
    bestgambler
    bestgambler
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 67
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 1:25 AM ET #18

    A NICE 4-0 NIGHT PLUS A 4 TEAM PARLAY = LOTS OF 

    CONGRADZ TO ALL WHO HAD THIS ONE WITH ME!

    WILL BE BACK TOMORROW WITH MY FRIDAY PICKS!
    Reply
    A NICE 4-0 NIGHT PLUS A 4 TEAM PARLAY = LOTS OF 

    CONGRADZ TO ALL WHO HAD THIS ONE WITH ME!

    WILL BE BACK TOMORROW WITH MY FRIDAY PICKS!
     
    MrBator
    MrBator
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 53270
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 1:48 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

     

     

    It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

     

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

     

     

    It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

     

     

     
    Ugrath
    Ugrath
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1029
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 5:26 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

     

     



    Denver vs LAL?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

     

     

    It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

     

     



    Denver vs LAL?
     
    Jnumbers
    Jnumbers
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 76
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 6:29 AM ET #21

    Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.
    Reply
    Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.
     
    bestgambler
    bestgambler
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2003
    Posts: 67
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 10:25 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Jnumbers:

    Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.



    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jnumbers:

    Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.



     
    Blue_Chips
    Blue_Chips
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 14091
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 11:13 AM ET #23

    Reply
     
     
    godofgambers85
    godofgambers85
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 15
    Posted: Apr. 2, 2010 - 11:29 AM ET #24

    Denv - 5/Over 199

    4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

    8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.


    What website did you use to for your research?
    Reply
    Denv - 5/Over 199

    4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

    8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

    When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.


    What website did you use to for your research?
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