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Gambler's STRONG Plays For Thursday W/ Some AMAZING Stats

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I decided to do some extra research today to hopefully help myself and everyone else on here who will be betting tonight's games, here are some stats I found doing my own research which helped me on my wagers tonight ... GLTA!!

Orl - 2.5/ Under 197 -
5 out of 6 times when Dal plays 3 games in 4 nights with the 3rd game being at home this season went UNDER.

7 of 11 times when Orl plays on the road with the line between 196-199 this season went UNDER. One of the games they hit 198 and the line was 196, I counted that as an Over of course but for todays line it can go either way.

When playing after atleast 3-4 days rest (including All Star Break) Orl margin of victory is way over 10 pts.

Denv - 5/Over 199

4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.

Use this to your own advantage, hopefully this homework pays off tonight, will be playing a 4 team parlay with those bets.

GLTA!! 


 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by bestgambler:


When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.



 

 

Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

 

beat Memphis, 133-123

beat Toronto, 130-112

beat New Jersey, 101-87

beat Atlanta, 124-104

beat Cleveland, 99-97

beat Utah, 119-112

beat Dallas, 127-91

 

 
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Posted: #3
No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs.  By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips.  Nuggets are faced with the always-difficult first game at home after a long road trip.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

Actually, it's even better.  This season, when playing at home with at least two days rest, the Nuggets....

 

beat Memphis, 133-123

beat Toronto, 130-112

beat New Jersey, 101-87

beat Atlanta, 124-104

beat Cleveland, 99-97

beat Utah, 119-112

beat Dallas, 127-91

 



Also, the last game on that list was more than 2 months ago.  Things have changed quite a bit since.
 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

No worries about the fact that the Blazers are a terrific 14-3 ATS this season when playing on back to backs? 

 

 

No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by PistolPete21:

  By comparison, the Nuggets are 1-9 ATS after having played 3 consecutive road games.  In other words, the Nuggets are downright brutal when returning home from road trips. 

 

 

That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

That's an interesting-sounding stat, but not a helpful one as far as tonight's game goes.  The Nuggets are actually 1-9-1 ATS following three consecutive road games, but seven of those games were played on the road, and two of them were played at home with no rest.  That leaves only two home games the Nuggets have played this season with at least one day of rest following a road trip of at least three games.  They won both of those games, covering against the Lakers, 105-79, and not covering against the Suns, 105-99.  Not so brutal after all.

 

 

I forgot a key phrase there!

 
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Posted: #8
PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.
 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

PistolPete, don't get me wrong.  I won't be on Denver in this game.  The Blazers are just tough as nails.  I went against another tough as nails team last night, the Milwaukee Bucks.  I had a massive free throw line advantage and still lost.

Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

 

 
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Posted: #10

I have had a nice run fading these Nuggets and never know when to get  off the fade bandwagon. I know the time is coming soon but who wants to miss that last bet. Going to ride it til it ends but will not make that big bet that has cost me in the past.

Little ones until they win ......and then they win twice.

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

Interesting, you passing then bro or taking the tough as nail Blazers despite the stats?

 

 

 

As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

As of now, just looking.  Obviously I'll be fading Dr. Chau's over selection, but stil undecided on what to do, if anything, with the side.

obviously- easy fade material

looks like they get two homer refs of the three for what it is worth.

 
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Posted: #13
Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

 
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

Portland had been  2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS this year playing a road game after a home win. That was, until I decided to fade them in that spot the last time it happened and they rolled to an easy cover.

 

 

Ain't that always the way....

 
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Posted: #15
While we're on the subject of trends...here's more to consider.

Since 12/22/10 after Joel Pryzbilla dislocated right knee, the Portland Trailblazers have won nine first quarters in a row coming off a back to back. They have beaten:

12/23/09 @ San Antonio    
POR   28       
SA     24


01/05/10 Memphis
MEM     24     
POR     25


01/23/10 @ Detroit
POR    32
DET     21


01/30/10 @ Dallas    
POR    26     
DAL     21

   
02/04/10 San Antonio    
SA        24
POR     26

02/10/10 @ Phoenix
POR     30     
PHO     20

02/24/10 @ Toronto
POR     32 
TOR     24

02/27/10 @ Minnesota
POR    25
MIN     23

03/12/10 @ Sacramento
POR     31
SAC     24

03/28/10 @ Oklahoma City
POR     30 
OKC     21
     
 
Portland even beat OKC who were riding a nine game 1st Qtr winning streak at home. Best of luck with whatever you play.



 
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Posted: #16
Good Luck
 
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Posted: #17
The extra homework paid off so  far 

2 down 2 to go .. lets get emm!
 
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Posted: #18
A NICE 4-0 NIGHT PLUS A 4 TEAM PARLAY = LOTS OF 

CONGRADZ TO ALL WHO HAD THIS ONE WITH ME!

WILL BE BACK TOMORROW WITH MY FRIDAY PICKS!
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

No.  For all those back-to-backs the Blazers have played, this will be the first time this season they've played unrested on the road following a home win.  And that home win followed a road trip.  This is a bad situation for Portland. 

 

 

It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

 

 

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

It's a killer for any NBA team.  The biggest joke play of the entire NBA regular season is just six days away.  If you're reading this on Friday morning.........FIVE days away!

 

 



Denver vs LAL?
 
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Posted: #21
Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Jnumbers:

Hey, great picks. Had orl and the over in the port game. Wanted to play the other 2 but couldnt pull the trigger on it. Wish I would of read your thread before I bet.Looking forward 2 your Friday plays.



 
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Posted: #23
 
 
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Posted: #24
Denv - 5/Over 199

4 of 5 games this year when Denver is playing at home after atleast 2 days rest have gone OVER.

8 of 11 games this year have gone OVER when Portland plays b2b with the second game of the b2b is on the road.

When Den has atleast 2 days rest and the next game is at home Den has won 5 out of 5 games with the avg margin of victory by 15 pts.


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