Posted:
#1
I can't tell you how many times this happens. I can guarantee anyone who looks at this game almost AUTOMATICALLY think Atlanta will win. I mean, how could they not, right? Top 5 defensive team in the league, playing out of their minds right now.
And then you have Detroit also playing hot, but if we look at who they have beat, only 2 wins really stand out. mavs and spurs. If we look closer into those games, we see that the mavs shot atrocious and the spurs basically had their B squad out on the court the entire time. I personally HATE betting on the side that has 70% or more of the action but I all signs are pointing to that 70% or more, for once, being correct.
With that said,
Things to consider, 70% or more will be on Atlanta tonight, yet the line opened at Atl -3 (most places) and is now down to Atl -2.5
Andre Drummond has been a nightmare in the paint for other teams. Yes, Atl defense is great, but who's going to stop him?
Both teams are on win streaks and DO NOT want tonight to be the end of those streaks.
Van Gundy has made a deal with the devil and has LUCK riding on his side.
Both teams coming off 1 days rest.
I have a gut feeling that this game will be decided by 1 or 2 points.
Personally, im laying off. But, i see MORE value in betting the pistons than the hawks. And this is ONLY because more often than not, spreads that go unchanged or in the direction of where money is coming in, instead of going away from it, tend to NOT hit.
Just my 2 cents. But betting against favs on the road with more than 70% riding on them, has been profitable.
BOL
And then you have Detroit also playing hot, but if we look at who they have beat, only 2 wins really stand out. mavs and spurs. If we look closer into those games, we see that the mavs shot atrocious and the spurs basically had their B squad out on the court the entire time. I personally HATE betting on the side that has 70% or more of the action but I all signs are pointing to that 70% or more, for once, being correct.
With that said,
Things to consider, 70% or more will be on Atlanta tonight, yet the line opened at Atl -3 (most places) and is now down to Atl -2.5
Andre Drummond has been a nightmare in the paint for other teams. Yes, Atl defense is great, but who's going to stop him?
Both teams are on win streaks and DO NOT want tonight to be the end of those streaks.
Van Gundy has made a deal with the devil and has LUCK riding on his side.
Both teams coming off 1 days rest.
I have a gut feeling that this game will be decided by 1 or 2 points.
Personally, im laying off. But, i see MORE value in betting the pistons than the hawks. And this is ONLY because more often than not, spreads that go unchanged or in the direction of where money is coming in, instead of going away from it, tend to NOT hit.
Just my 2 cents. But betting against favs on the road with more than 70% riding on them, has been profitable.
BOL
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