It took me a few months to figure this out, but This league is a crap shoot. If you a taking any favorite over -150 or laying more than -4, you are crazy imo. I feel that live betting NBA or quarter betting is a solid route. I have noticed books can struggle to get true lines out live sometimes,
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
It took me a few months to figure this out, but This league is a crap shoot. If you a taking any favorite over -150 or laying more than -4, you are crazy imo. I feel that live betting NBA or quarter betting is a solid route. I have noticed books can struggle to get true lines out live sometimes,
Both the 76ers and the Celtics are playing back 2 back.. today and tomorrow.
What I have come to learn is that the books just take a guess on these types of match ups as to who will turn up.
Based on pure ability, there is no way the Magic should be +4.5, which even went down to 3.5 at one point, to the 76ers at home, even without Embiid. And there is no way the Celtics should have been +6.5 to GS today... no injuries at all to the Celtics, and Klay Thompson out.
But the reason why these lines were what they were, is because the books were punting on the 76ers and Celtics laying down today, and looking forward to tomorrow. It's clear as day this is what the lines were based on. But the coaching department of both teams both made the decision to go hard today.
This is why tomorrow the 76ers are only +5.5 to a horrible Bulls team. Because they threw it all in today.
Once you look at it this way... you get an understanding that lines really mean nothing. Books are just guessing a lot in NBA. As a lot of these results are based on motivation and how hard the coaching department wants to go in a game.... do they play starters for 40 minutes or 20? That is the guessing game.
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The books just guess as well...
Both the 76ers and the Celtics are playing back 2 back.. today and tomorrow.
What I have come to learn is that the books just take a guess on these types of match ups as to who will turn up.
Based on pure ability, there is no way the Magic should be +4.5, which even went down to 3.5 at one point, to the 76ers at home, even without Embiid. And there is no way the Celtics should have been +6.5 to GS today... no injuries at all to the Celtics, and Klay Thompson out.
But the reason why these lines were what they were, is because the books were punting on the 76ers and Celtics laying down today, and looking forward to tomorrow. It's clear as day this is what the lines were based on. But the coaching department of both teams both made the decision to go hard today.
This is why tomorrow the 76ers are only +5.5 to a horrible Bulls team. Because they threw it all in today.
Once you look at it this way... you get an understanding that lines really mean nothing. Books are just guessing a lot in NBA. As a lot of these results are based on motivation and how hard the coaching department wants to go in a game.... do they play starters for 40 minutes or 20? That is the guessing game.
Then my friend, you have not figured out anything :D If GS played tomorrow against Cleveland, I would take -150 in a heartbeat. Hell I would take it against the majority of teams in the NBA.
Keep it up. A long roller coaster this is.
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Then my friend, you have not figured out anything :D If GS played tomorrow against Cleveland, I would take -150 in a heartbeat. Hell I would take it against the majority of teams in the NBA.
The NBA is scripted... Usually when a team is missing their best player, they will win or lose but cover the spread.. If a team is struggling and playing a good team, they will win, kinda like tonight, mainly the reason i picked Boston to win straight up...And lastly, if you think the match-up is one sided, chances are, the team will win but not cover or just lose all together
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The NBA is scripted... Usually when a team is missing their best player, they will win or lose but cover the spread.. If a team is struggling and playing a good team, they will win, kinda like tonight, mainly the reason i picked Boston to win straight up...And lastly, if you think the match-up is one sided, chances are, the team will win but not cover or just lose all together
The books don’t guess. They just do everything and anything possible to lose the least money possible meaning they adjust lines to avoid the big payouts whether it be ML plays, parlays, or the public pounding a side or total. They do not just guess.
“A Fool And His Money Are Soon Parted” -Thomas Tusser 1557
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The books don’t guess. They just do everything and anything possible to lose the least money possible meaning they adjust lines to avoid the big payouts whether it be ML plays, parlays, or the public pounding a side or total. They do not just guess.
The books don’t guess. They just do everything and anything possible to lose the least money possible meaning they adjust lines to avoid the big payouts whether it be ML plays, parlays, or the public pounding a side or total. They do not just guess.
thank you... as if a book actually puts out lines based on who they think will win......
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Quote Originally Posted by SuperSlapem:
The books don’t guess. They just do everything and anything possible to lose the least money possible meaning they adjust lines to avoid the big payouts whether it be ML plays, parlays, or the public pounding a side or total. They do not just guess.
thank you... as if a book actually puts out lines based on who they think will win......
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