Knicks are still at +2.5.... +115 ML .... you would think that the Knicks would be -5 or so with the injuries to Bron/Gabrielle Union/Mario Chalmers and the fact that Knicks are still fighting fo the #2 seed
do you think Vegas is trapping everyone and knows Heat will win?
or do you think that its just becuase of the way the Heat beat Spurs in S.A and now are at home? (BTW I already grabbed NYK +115 so I hope I dont get fooled)
If you think there are traps, which there aren't, you think the guys putting out the opening lines know who is going to cover- which they most certainly don't. They set lines, which isn't that tough. Most people who follow football, for example, can predict what the lines will be the next week on almost every game. I'm no expert, and I usuaully get every game within a half point each week. Setting lines is easy. If a line looks like a trap to one person, it looks like a trap the other way to another, or right on the money to another. the best lines get fairly balanced action each way and they don't care who wins. Sometimes, they are heavy one way and they care a bit more, but even on those games they don't even have to hit 45% to come out on top. Most of em they make money no matter who wins. Don't get me wrong, I understand that linesmakers have more info than the average bettor, and have to put out lines that may let a sharper bettor profit because they are catering to the masses. But that's not a trap. Sharper bettors may know its a good angle to go against an NBA team playing 4 games in 5 nights, but it may not reflect in the line as much as it should because the masses don't really pay attention to that. So a shap bettor gets some added value in that situation. And on and on it goes. There are so many situations and angles that can influence things, but all in all, as long as they throw out a line they will make money by brokering the action. If the line is way off , it will move. Bottom line is, no one knows what will happen on a given night which is what makes it so much fun and why the books will always profit.
If you think there are traps, which there aren't, you think the guys putting out the opening lines know who is going to cover- which they most certainly don't. They set lines, which isn't that tough. Most people who follow football, for example, can predict what the lines will be the next week on almost every game. I'm no expert, and I usuaully get every game within a half point each week. Setting lines is easy. If a line looks like a trap to one person, it looks like a trap the other way to another, or right on the money to another. the best lines get fairly balanced action each way and they don't care who wins. Sometimes, they are heavy one way and they care a bit more, but even on those games they don't even have to hit 45% to come out on top. Most of em they make money no matter who wins. Don't get me wrong, I understand that linesmakers have more info than the average bettor, and have to put out lines that may let a sharper bettor profit because they are catering to the masses. But that's not a trap. Sharper bettors may know its a good angle to go against an NBA team playing 4 games in 5 nights, but it may not reflect in the line as much as it should because the masses don't really pay attention to that. So a shap bettor gets some added value in that situation. And on and on it goes. There are so many situations and angles that can influence things, but all in all, as long as they throw out a line they will make money by brokering the action. If the line is way off , it will move. Bottom line is, no one knows what will happen on a given night which is what makes it so much fun and why the books will always profit.
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