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Johnson's NBA Picks - Thursday 12/2

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  86-61-4  (+18.60 units)

SIDES:  19-15  (+3.35 units)

TOTALS:  28-30  (-6.35 units)

ML PLAYS:  26-10-3  (+14.50 units)

PROPS:  12-6-1  (+4.20 units)

PARLAYS: 1-0  (+2.90 units)

Thursday Trends:

6 overs 6 unders
Home Team is 8-4 ATS and SU
Favorites are 7-5 ATS
West @ East is 2-1 ATS and SU
Double Digit Favorites are 2-0 ATS
Home Underdogs are 1-0 ATS and SU
====================================================

Had an ugly start to Wednesday...but finished really strong, hitting the Magic ML as an underdog and my 3-team parlay to end up the night at 7-4 and +7.4 units...now on to Thursday night where I guess there is some kind of big game in Cleveland?

Initial Leans (10-3-1 since Sunday)....

Miami vs Cleveland UNDER 192

Phoenix vs. Golden State OVER 229.5

With only two games on the board, it's very tough to judge with the trends and all.  Might just have to study the first quarters and see how they look.  Right now, I really don't like anything on the board.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
With you on Phx/Gsw over, should hit with ease.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
 
Legend
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Honestly...it might just be a day off.  Might throw something on a first half or first quarter ML...or a prop if there is a decent one.
 
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Posted: #5
Same on the totals. Any idea with the sides?
 
All-Star
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Posted: #6
Was feeling over in the late game but reading a lot of articles saying both teams are going to emphasize defense and rebounding.  Of course the coaches tell them this all the time, but with time off it could've definitely been what they've focused on this week.

When I see the refs I'll likely know if that number is too high or not.  If it is, I'll likely pound Under on such a high total.  

Good Luck tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #7
Not liking anybody in the Heat/Cavs game?
 
MVP
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Posted: #8
Any thoughts on the sides CM? Especially the "big" game?
 
MVP
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Posted: #9
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by aireent777:

Any thoughts on the sides CM? Especially the "big" game?


The Heat/Cavs side has gone up a decent amount...which obviously is because everyone and their mother pounded the Heat last night.  I really don't have a feeling for this game.  Mostly because it's one of the rare instances where trends and daily numbers and such have no bearing.  It's pure emotion in the building, and LBJ might come out and drop 60...who knows.

I'm just going to sit back and enjoy the game.  Hopefully the Cavs win...but I don't really think it will happen.  The Heat seem to have turned a minor corner in the past week or so.
 
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Posted: #11
What do we all think about LeBron UNDER 14.5 Boards/Assists?

I think he'll get 6 boards and 5 assists or so...can't really see much more than that
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Honestly...it might just be a day off.  Might throw something on a first half or first quarter ML...or a prop if there is a decent one.

My thought exactly.  The Suns over scares me not one single person is even thinking under.  I mean no one.  I hate when all the thinking one way. 

 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

What do we all think about LeBron UNDER 14.5 Boards/Assists?

I think he'll get 6 boards and 5 assists or so...can't really see much more than that
lebron willmake it his business to get a triple double tonight trust me.
 
MVP
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Posted: #14
great job last night


GL 
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
gl cm. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Just flat out staying away tonight.  Best of luck to everyone else...I'll be working on the numbers for tomorrow!!
 
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Posted: #17
 
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Posted: #18
ok CM, I'm looking forward to tomorrow!
 
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Posted: #19
good luck bro
 
All-Star
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Posted: #20
enjoy the game 
 
Legend
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Posted: #21


Love the intensity from the fans...but the Cavs need to match that
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
Cavs thought that the crowd being pumped up would be enough to win this game.  They forgot that the Heat are a pretty darn good team.
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