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Johnson's NBA Thursday 3/28

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Legend
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Posted: #1
OVERALL RECORD:  211-199 (+1255$)

Record vs. Spread/ML:  108-105 (+295$)
Record vs. O/U:  101-92  (+1000$)
Record vs. Parlay:  2-2  (-40$)
Record vs. NCAAB:  17-10  (+635$)
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1-2 yesterday, nailed the Celtics play down to the exact play, but didn't listen to myself and allowed other great cappers to influence my plays.  Either way, I was pretty close on a majority of my predictions, just played a couple of the wrong ones.  Wizards didn't hold up their offensive end of the bargain against the Thunder.  Moving on to Thursday and a limited game schedule.
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
LA Lakers vs. Milwaukee -

The Lakers lose on Thursday's.  Strong lean towards the Bucks to bounce back after their tough loss last night and get a good solid win.  Lakers barely held on last night against the Wolves...and as usual couldn't stop the faster, younger team.  This year on Thursday's the Lakers are 1-4 SU and ATS with the only win coming about a month ago at home against the Wolves (not exactly great competition).  Overall on Thursday's the Lakers are 5-15 ATS and SU in their last 20.  Lakers are 13-24 on the road this season.  The only thing that might hold me back in this one is how bad the Bucks have been at home this year, especially against decent teams.
 
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A quick side note about LBJ and the "streak" -

I believe it is more impressive than the Lakers streak in the early 70's because of the level of competition in today's game as compared to what the league was back then.  The biggest problem I have is how LeBron handled himself at the end of the year complaining about hard fouls.  I absolutely agree that it was not a flagrant foul, he thought he was getting beat up and LeBron felt that he needed to return the message.  Where he went wrong was saying that those "were not basketball plays".  Yes they are...they have just been buried underneath the AAU generation who would rather be friends with everyone rather than take your head off on the court.  That has always been how you beat the Heat, and that is why the Bulls, Pacers, and my Celtics give them the best battles continuously over the season and in the playoffs.  They beat the living hell out of the Heat, and it takes them out of their game.  LeBron still gets scared to drive to the hoop if you are able to pound him over and over in the first half.

For once in my life, I agree with Skip Bayless about how he should have never complained after the game about the officiating.  It makes him seem like they lost because a team stepped up and didn't let him do what he wanted to do.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
CM, do you have any opinions on using mongray.com to deposit funds to 5dimes? I have read your posts a lot and would really appreciate some feedback
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
Indiana vs. Dallas -

Small lean on the Mavericks tonight at home.  13-7 SU and ATS in their last 20 home games.  Pacers only 3-5 SU in their last 8 road games.  The beards have given the Mavs some extra powers it seems as in the past week they have rolled out impressive win after impressive win.  Veteran, championship teams just know how to get the job done when it matters...and this is a revenge game as well as the Pacers beat up on the Mavs earlier in the year by 20 points.
 
Legend
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by steveo12:

CM, do you have any opinions on using mongray.com to deposit funds to 5dimes? I have read your posts a lot and would really appreciate some feedback


I generally use MoneyGram
 
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Posted: #7
Sacramento vs. Phoenix -

Two crappy teams battling again!!  More than likely no play on this game, if anything I would lean a little bit towards the Kings as they have done well recently ATS on the road, and also as favorites of less than 3 points.
 
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Posted: #8
For the college plays of the Sweet 16.....


Marquette vs Miami (FL)  OVER 127  (1.1 to win 1)

Injury to Johnson limits the rotations, tired legs, more inside points


Arizona vs. Ohio State UNDER 134  (1.1 to win 1)

The bigs of the Wildcats and their tough rebounding will severely limit Craft and the Buckeyes.  70 points will be hard to get to.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

LA Lakers vs. Milwaukee -

The Lakers lose on Thursday's.  Strong lean towards the Bucks to bounce back after their tough loss last night and get a good solid win.  Lakers barely held on last night against the Wolves...and as usual couldn't stop the faster, younger team.  This year on Thursday's the Lakers are 1-4 SU and ATS with the only win coming about a month ago at home against the Wolves (not exactly great competition).  Overall on Thursday's the Lakers are 5-15 ATS and SU in their last 20.  Lakers are 13-24 on the road this season.  The only thing that might hold me back in this one is how bad the Bucks have been at home this year, especially against decent teams.
CM Lakers also are 0-14 on B2B this season.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

For the college plays of the Sweet 16.....


Marquette vs Miami (FL)  OVER 127  (1.1 to win 1)

Injury to Johnson limits the rotations, tired legs, more inside points


Arizona vs. Ohio State UNDER 134  (1.1 to win 1)

The bigs of the Wildcats and their tough rebounding will severely limit Craft and the Buckeyes.  70 points will be hard to get to.

I have to disagree with you on these picks. I see both Marquette and Miami putting up about 55 shots apiece. I expect them to hit about 41%. Throw in FTs and extra pts for threes, I still see this game coming under. 

As for ARI game, I think if Lyons puts up over 20pts, this game goes over.  The way OSU plays, I think they could put up 70 tonight. 

On another note, what site do you use to check betting %?
 
Legend
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Posted: #11
I use just about every site out there that lists them. 
 
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Milwaukee Bucks +2  (2.2 to win 2)

Going medium big on the Bucks tonight to beat the old Lakers on a B2B against two faster teams.  Pau will be most affected with the foot injury and having to play 37 minutes last night.  I look for Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to do pretty much whatever they want against the weak backcourt of the Lakers.  Jennings came out and was quite vocal about his playing time last game...and he's got a large ego. 

Prediction:  Bucks 109  Lakers 106
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Indiana vs. Dallas -

Small lean on the Mavericks tonight at home.  13-7 SU and ATS in their last 20 home games.  Pacers only 3-5 SU in their last 8 road games.  The beards have given the Mavs some extra powers it seems as in the past week they have rolled out impressive win after impressive win.  Veteran, championship teams just know how to get the job done when it matters...and this is a revenge game as well as the Pacers beat up on the Mavs earlier in the year by 20 points.
how u feel about the mavs/pacers under?i may buy pts to add to it.
 
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Posted: #14
I'm actually leaning towards the OVER.  Dallas at home is very efficient, and the Pacers offense has been no slouch either.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

I'm actually leaning towards the OVER.  Dallas at home is very efficient, and the Pacers offense has been no slouch either.
under 198-197,i may buy pts.
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Milwaukee Bucks +2  (2.2 to win 2)

Going medium big on the Bucks tonight to beat the old Lakers on a B2B against two faster teams.  Pau will be most affected with the foot injury and having to play 37 minutes last night.  I look for Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to do pretty much whatever they want against the weak backcourt of the Lakers.  Jennings came out and was quite vocal about his playing time last game...and he's got a large ego. 

Prediction:  Bucks 109  Lakers 106


LOL. The Bucks? A bunch of no name players vs a inconstant good Lakers team that can show up at any given night.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

A quick side note about LBJ and the "streak" -

I believe it is more impressive than the Lakers streak in the early 70's because of the level of competition in today's game as compared to what the league was back then.  The biggest problem I have is how LeBron handled himself at the end of the year complaining about hard fouls.  I absolutely agree that it was not a flagrant foul, he thought he was getting beat up and LeBron felt that he needed to return the message.  Where he went wrong was saying that those "were not basketball plays".  Yes they are...they have just been buried underneath the AAU generation who would rather be friends with everyone rather than take your head off on the court.  That has always been how you beat the Heat, and that is why the Bulls, Pacers, and my Celtics give them the best battles continuously over the season and in the playoffs.  They beat the living hell out of the Heat, and it takes them out of their game.  LeBron still gets scared to drive to the hoop if you are able to pound him over and over in the first half.

For once in my life, I agree with Skip Bayless about how he should have never complained after the game about the officiating.  It makes him seem like they lost because a team stepped up and didn't let him do what he wanted to do.
there were less teams back in the day.  there were less bobcats, cavs, magic, hornets, wizards.  the lower part of the east is tripe.   totally agree with you and bayless about bron bron.  that lakers team was a team.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Kaka123:



LOL. The Bucks? A bunch of no name players vs a inconstant good Lakers team that can show up at any given night.

Ellis and Jennings are not no-name players they have a commercial from the NBA for crying out loud!
BUCKS FTW
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Kaka123:



LOL. The Bucks? A bunch of no name players vs a inconstant good Lakers team that can show up at any given night.

The Lakers are terrible on b2b games and on the road..   Love your insight CMJ keep up the good work and also great call on that Celtics games yesterday you were spot on.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

A quick side note about LBJ and the "streak" -

I believe it is more impressive than the Lakers streak in the early 70's because of the level of competition in today's game as compared to what the league was back then.  The biggest problem I have is how LeBron handled himself at the end of the year complaining about hard fouls.  I absolutely agree that it was not a flagrant foul, he thought he was getting beat up and LeBron felt that he needed to return the message.  Where he went wrong was saying that those "were not basketball plays".  Yes they are...they have just been buried underneath the AAU generation who would rather be friends with everyone rather than take your head off on the court.  That has always been how you beat the Heat, and that is why the Bulls, Pacers, and my Celtics give them the best battles continuously over the season and in the playoffs.  They beat the living hell out of the Heat, and it takes them out of their game.  LeBron still gets scared to drive to the hoop if you are able to pound him over and over in the first half.

For once in my life, I agree with Skip Bayless about how he should have never complained after the game about the officiating.  It makes him seem like they lost because a team stepped up and didn't let him do what he wanted to do.

take 'em to church man
 
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Posted: #21
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
One of the college plays paid off for me...thanks to a ton of points late!
 
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Legend
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Posted: #25
Betting against the Lakers on a Thursday night is always enjoyable.  You could see exactly how this game was going to unfold.  I loved watching the fast pace in the 1st half
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