Since 2006 the OVER is a perfect 11-0 in Jazz regular season
games where they tip off as an UNDERDOG...only when they had shot over 50% FGs
in their previous game out.
This trend is 23-6 over all time in these situations, going over by an average 9.6 points per game.
Last
time out the Jazz shot 53% FG against the Bobcats and tonight are
getting in the roll of Underdog catching 7.5 versus Orlando.
Play the Jazz/Magic to go OVER 202.
GL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Since 2006 the OVER is a perfect 11-0 in Jazz regular season
games where they tip off as an UNDERDOG...only when they had shot over 50% FGs
in their previous game out.
This trend is 23-6 over all time in these situations, going over by an average 9.6 points per game.
Last
time out the Jazz shot 53% FG against the Bobcats and tonight are
getting in the roll of Underdog catching 7.5 versus Orlando.
Crappy ending on saturday..... that continuation call with about 2 minutes left was a back-breaker.... it wasn't even a foul and evans freakin traveled!..... but credit to the kings for playing hard.... even though they have a crappy road record (attributable to the high caliber of competition they have played on the road), they do play with alot of heart.
My question for you is about money management. You said previously your plays are for 3.33% of your bankroll. If that is one of your regular plays, how much do you increase your wager for your "game of the month" and "game of the year". Perhaps you can post how much you increase your wager sizes by so that any over-zealous tailers don't foolishly over-bet your bigger plays.
You are one of the more intelligent and eloquent posters on this forum, thanks for your contribution, time for another run!
0
good luck!
Crappy ending on saturday..... that continuation call with about 2 minutes left was a back-breaker.... it wasn't even a foul and evans freakin traveled!..... but credit to the kings for playing hard.... even though they have a crappy road record (attributable to the high caliber of competition they have played on the road), they do play with alot of heart.
My question for you is about money management. You said previously your plays are for 3.33% of your bankroll. If that is one of your regular plays, how much do you increase your wager for your "game of the month" and "game of the year". Perhaps you can post how much you increase your wager sizes by so that any over-zealous tailers don't foolishly over-bet your bigger plays.
You are one of the more intelligent and eloquent posters on this forum, thanks for your contribution, time for another run!
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O
20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U
20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
0
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O
20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U
20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O
20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U
20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
0
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O
20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U
20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot 20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O 20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U 20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
hate losing(and we will) based on bs info
thanks for pointing this out jlippens
0
Quote Originally Posted by jlippens:
I don't think the OP is accurate with the 11-0 stat. This is from another board, discussing this "11-0" thread (lol)
Going back to 1995 (limit of the database), I get the following (note the total as well as the over percentage)
team=Jazz and p:field goal percentage>50 and D O/U: 67-34-1 (4.0) avg total: 193.8
for the one they quote
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and D
O/U: 21-8-0 (6.9) avg total: 202.7
as an away dog
team=Jazz and season>=2006 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 18-7-0 (8.2) avg total: 203.6
Here is this season
team=Jazz and season=2009 and p:field goal percentage>50 and AD
O/U: 1-2-0 (-12.3) avg total: 201.3
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot 20091114 UTH CLE A 103-107 0&1 52-51 +13 +191 -4 9.0 19.0 14.0 5.0 L W O 20091209 UTH LAL A 77-101 1&2 33-46 +10' +206' -24 -13.5 -28.5 -21.0 -7.5 L L U 20091218 UTH ATL A 83-96 1&1 42-44 +6' +206' -13 -6.5 -27.5 -17.0 -10.5 L L U
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