Posted:
#1
Took a couple days off. The excessive amount of over time losses had finally taken it's toll on me mentally and I just needed to take a step back and regroup. It's a new week and virtually new month, and hopefully we can get a good win streak going again.
58-41 YTD on Covers
Pacers -4
The Pacers in my opinion, have made the biggest improvement over the last week of any team in the NBA.
Paul George has struggled the past few games, but the rest of the Pacers' have really picked it up. They've got at least five guys averaging double digit points during their recent win streak, and have really limited the turnovers.
Their defense is what's really giving them a chance to win every game.
The same can't be said for the Thunder. They've really been struggling lately. Although they did win at Memphis, that was really Memphis handing them the game on a silver platter just to continue the trend of not covering in OKC. Yes they did win in Portland where Westbrook basically willed his way to a win on his own, but that's Portland.
All that though, doesn't highlight the Thunders' real struggles.
Overall the Thunder are not only lacking depth, as Westbrook is literally 45% of the scoring out of the starting lineup. The team in general is shooting under 40% over their last five games. Going up against a Pacers team who is thriving defensively, it's just a really bad match up for OKC.
Indiana over the last five games or so, ranks right about at the top of the league in opponents fast break points. When the Thunder really thrive, they're getting out in transition. The Pacers offensive efficiency, along with Kanter being out, should really limit OKCs' ability to run.
This game will be decided in the half court and I expect the Pacers to expose the lack of depth the Thunder have, and really force Westbrook into taking a lot of bad shots and turnovers.
I think the Thunder will struggle to get to 95 in this one.
