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I am in the process of putting together a formula for calculating NBA spreads. This is a work in progress but i think i may have gotten to a point where it can consistently pull in a profit over the long run. As this is simply pure numbers i do not know what picks are worth more than other picks. I can see the spreads that are off the most by my numbers but it doesnt always mean its a better bet so as i track it longer i can make that decision. As of now i put the same amount on every single game.
Boston +3
Charlotte +3.5
Brooklyn +2.5
Detroit -2
Indiana Pacers +4.5
Memphis -4.5
Houston +4
Golden St +6.5
New Orleans +5.5
Portland -2
For the Orlando and Utah games the line is currently almost dead on with what my calculations show. Because of this i am holding off in locking these in to see if the line moves a half point in a direction to make it more clear what the pick should be.
I hope by seasons end this purely numbers strategy will show a profit. I am fairly confident it will but will have to wait and see. I started the system a couple days ago and currently picking 50% with one push and a total profit of .45 Units
I like to think i got unlucky the past couple but maybe instead i have been lucky. I guess time will tell.
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