NBA Finals game 5

Just spent 15 minutes looking through different threads here seeing where people’s head are at when it comes down to betting on tonight’s game. 1 thing I have noticed is that mostly everyone coming in here saying Warriors -4 really has no reason as to why. Outside of this game being played in the Bay (GS is 8-3 ATS at home this postseason - but just 1-1 this series) what trends give the advantage to GS or has you betting them in this spot tonight?

Mostly every trend points to Celtics +4 being the play tonight:

The Celtics are 7-0 straight-up and against the spread following a loss this postseason covering by a margin of 14 ppg

7-2 straight up after committing 15 or more turnovers in the playoffs, 4-0 after committing 17 or more

4-0 after shooting 40% or worse from the field

Celtics are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs the Warriors and have covered in 9 of their last 11 road games versus Golden State

The Warriors, meanwhile, are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win

The last five NBA Finals Game 5 home teams/favorites have failed to cover their point
spreads, going 1-4 SU & 0-4-1 ATS

With all that being said the 1 stat that would scare me as a Boston backer tonight is 4-11, that’s the Celtics record ATS in playoffs games that Tony Brothers refs since 2015.

As of now I’m leaning towards 

Celtics +4 

Celtics 1st Half +2

Celtics 2nd Quarter +.5

Since January 29th the Celtics are 12-1 Straight up and ATS after a loss.. GL with Boston 

@Mcmanus

GL @jmrodrig 

@Mcmanus

The 1 was an OT loss in Toronto without Tatum, Brown, Horford or Robert Williams. 

@jmrodrig

 It's been an amazing run for the Celtics..I remember when they were 18-21 in early January after blowing a 25 point lead to the Knicks..Their biggest game is tonight though  

@Mcmanus

I’m probably in the minority with this opinion but I really think game 7 vs the Heat was a bigger game for them after coming up short at home in Game 6. Very similar situation to the one they’re in now.

boston is a garbage pick tonight

absolutely awful pick that exposed people for being ignorant

@JimmyGape

Yeah? How so? I’m open to hearing why. Coming in here and calling it a garbage pick with no reasons as to why you feel that way actually makes me like my Celtics pick even more.

@JimmyGape

 Hey Big mouth why don't you post your tickets on who you're picking and not picking you're probably one of them guys you're just a homer for that team and you don't even have the nutsack to back it up by wagering your own money just be quiet man

@TRIBULATION

 Where are your picks you useless Covers troll.  Post NOTHING, and all you do is lose money, bc you can’t even tail right, than go into other peoples’ threads, and act like the insecure friendless irrelevancy you are.

shit man, if mommy and daddy didn’t love you enough, there are better outlets than a betting forum.

this jerkoff actually came into my WINNING thread, to post BS than reply to HIMSELF…..THREE times!!!!!

hahahahahahaha

guaranteed Biden voter…..guaranteed!!!!