Laying the wood! Houston is in a unique spot with a home back to back. Let's start there. Players and coaches will tell you early season back to backs are easier because, well, you're healthier and fresher and the wear and tear of the season hasn't completely drained your will to play.
But is that actually true? Turns out, yes. In the month of November since 2014, home favorites on a back to back are 90-72-8 (56%) (https://killersports.com/query?sdql=season%3E2013%20and%20rest%3D0%20and%20H%20and%20F%20and%20%28month%3D11%29&filter=NBA&_qt=games&init=1). West teams in particular are better here (as they are stronger favorites, playing in the tougher conference), going 48-30-4 (65%) ATS in that span.
Let's add on top of that the Rockets are especially good at beating up on bad teams at home. Under Ime Udoka, Houston is a whopping 15-4 SU and ATS against teams under .500 when playing at home. That includes 6-2 vs. Eastern Conference, sub-.500 teams at home.
I make this game Rockets -13.8. I know it's a lot of points but the Wizards are truly trying to Capture The Flagg. Lay the points.
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