Posted:
#1
Lost 7 units on some Pistons futures- but that is the nature of the biz.
After what seems like an offseason the Finals "finally" start tonight. Slight lean towards the Lakers to win the series because their offense is so potent right now, but how can you not like the value in the Celtics at +170? These teams are closer than people think. LA will see a great team defense in this series. The key will be whether or not the Celts can get the first two at home. If they split, I think they are in real trouble. I didn't add to the Celts on the series because I already have this pending:
Boston to win the championship- (+205)- 6 units
Adding prop: Paul Pierce to win Finals MVP(+550)- 1 unit- Once again I will hit on the value here as I am wondering who will guard him for LA. Pierce should have a big offensive series.
Onto tonight- BIG BIG PLAY- 1st Half Under 96.5- 4 units- locked in two days ago and I love this line. I am already big on Game 1 unders as most of you know- but this is a dandy. Some seriously strong points to the under for the first half tonight:
1- The 3 Game 1 first halves so far in Boston have went 89, 78 and 81 pts for an 83 pt. average.
2- After scoring big against Denver in Game 1, The Lakers failed to meet this line vs. Utah(95 pts) and San Antonio(94 pts) in Game 1's.
3- Lakers have also been conservative scoring-wise in the first halves in the first road games of each series: 99, 95 and 88 pts.
4- LOOONG layoff should equal some rust for the two teams as they feel each other out.
5- Nerves. It is the Finals, not just the playoffs. I expect some good masonry work out there at the beginning as bricks are jacked up and the defenses clamp down.
All of this makes me believe we will see a 47-45 half at best.
Celtics-2 (bought hook)- 2 units- Going with the home team tonight as I love the short line the Celts are getting. Lakers could possibly be the Game 2 play if they lose tonight.
Let's print these out and cash them later! GL tonight guys- let's get this 
.
.0
Gladiators
Hot Forum Topics
