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NBA theory for Over

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Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2017
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Posted: #1

I’ve been noticing a couple times already that once a team “lock” the win (20pts gap) going to the 4th quarter they don’t have much about burning the clock plus they slack on defense allowing space for 3 points shooter 

Any thoughts on that ?

 
Prospect
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Posts: 42
Posted: #2

My guess is be on the lookout for that and hop on the over on 4th quarter 

 
Rookie
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Joined: Jan, 2016
Posts: 891
Posted: #3

Live betting is the best odds. Even teams open $1.45, often better value during game 

Risk it for the biscuit
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 2738
Posted: #4
The proposed angle didn’t work for Sixers/Pacers yesterday. Pacers up 20+ all game. 4th qtr went under.

Problem with blowouts is the scrubs come in.
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 52832
Posted: #5

Dont worry about totals, just take the team that is losing big to cover the 4Q line as soon as the 3Q ends...thats the softest line in basketball sports betting ingame at the moment, and theres absolutely nothing the online books can do about it...trust me on this one an_light

Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
 
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Posted: #6

I think for this year, it's 37-31 Over-Under, if I did that correctly.  That's at least a 20 point lead at the end of the 3Q.

 
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Posted: #7
Packers - for clarification purposes when do you apply this? Teams trailing 20+?

So when 3rd qtr ends, in live betting, there’s a 4th qtr spread? Take the team that is getting blown out?
 
 
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Posted: #8
In today’s game - the Magic are up 11 entering the 4th. I’d assume that lead isn’t big enough.
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