YTD (NBA PLAYOFFS): 3-4 ATS
Small sample size but still not great. Better with the under on Tuesday night but need to string along some more W's, and I am going to back two plays that for me make a lot of sense:
OVER 107 (DAL/MIN): I would somehow strangely love to see this game go under and the Twolves win, but I have to sometimes use my head. These games in Minnesota have started off pretty fast and I think that KAT will want to make an impression on the game and get to the rim often. Anthony Edwards has been making guys around him better in the games that he has not performed, but I also expect him to come out motivated. I do like that Lively is back as I think he adds something to the Mavericks offense that might very well be a difference maker tonight. How effective he is will be the question and I think if he struggles at all, it will be at the onset of the game to just pick the game speed back up after the one game absence. He's also the reason I am backing...
DALLAS (+5): I think if you have it at 4.5 you buy the extra half point because I again am not entirely sure they will win the game. But I do like them to keep it as close as ever and I can't just ignore the Kyrie stat of 14-2 in close out games. Maybe this guy really does know how to get it done and tonight will be another example. Even if he doesn't, I think Lively's return might force a couple shots to be altered and in a game that I think is so evenly matched, that very well could make all the difference between a cover or not. I do hope to see the Mavs not just get to the line, but capitalize when there.
Another late post as I'm heading to NYC for a nice weekend, so I hope I leave everyone with two more victories. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
go dbacks!
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