YTD (NBA): 66-34-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 13-6 ATS)
Happy New Year to everyone. Went 1-1 last night but lost my BIG PLAY so technically took a loss on the night. Tonight is a big slate and I think you can expect certain more sluggish play after NYE. Maybe everywhere except in Denver.
UNDER 221 (NO/MIA)...BIG PLAY!!!: New Orelans is a team in peril and extremely injured. I know Jimmy Butler is due back tonight but I'm not sure how many minutes he'll put in. Regardless, this is a high total with a team that is going to find it very hard to get to 100 in my opinion. Plus the UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the two squads and UNDER in even 21 of the last 29 played in Miami between these two. That's a lot of good data for a play.
DALLAS (+5): I like them to win outright here. Doncic out always makes it tricky but with Klay Thompson and Kyrie Irving on the court, and a trend where they've won five of the last six played in Houston, I'll grab 5 happily.
OVER 247 (ATL/DEN): This game is going to be extremely high scoring and it's most likely going to end up with Denver winning the game. Sometimes you just have to play the obvious and these games have gone over 8 of the past 11 times when playing in Denver. Add to that how high scoring both offenses are this year, and of late, and this too is a play.
PHILADELPHIA (+5.5): Stopped just short of making this a big play b/c the Sixers do have injury concerns and not just Embiid. But the Kings are still trying to stabilize things and the Sixers have been playing much better of late. I think Fox will get his but at the end of the day giving Philly and their other stars 5.5 points is a bit much especially when the Sixers have OWNED this series especially in Sacramento.
That's a lot of plays but I have done well in the past. It's just what I like on certain days more than others. Hoping everyone is having a great start to the year. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all.
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