NBA TODAY PLAYS (12/18)

YTD (NBA): 48-29-2 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 8-4 ATS)

Wow, I can't believe the last time I posted NBA was December 7th!  Anyways, was a 3-1 night that time around and to be honest the NBA League Cup doesn't interest me too much.  Loads of UNDERS both years it's been played.  And for whatever reason people in this forum love to just pound OVERS, as though the UNDER is not even an option.  Thought I'd post early as I'm happy the real NBA has returned to full action and I'm gearing up for a big night tomorrow with a FEW BIG PLAYS on tap:

OVER 228 (UTAH/DET):  More of the same here, different era and thus different offenses.  Both of these teams can score and don't play enough defense.  Five of the last 7 in this matchup have gone OVER and Utah is an OVER machine on the road having gone over the total 5 out of the last 5 times they took to the court.  They have been VERY good ATS vs Detroit as well so I don't think they will have issues putting up points.

OKC (-6):  Faaaaaar better team are the Thunder and they have been actively playing games as they kept wining in the League Cup, so they won't be rusty.  Combine that with a depleted Magic squad as well as the Thunder covering 5 of the last 6 played in Orlando and I'm definitely backing them in this spot.

MEMPHIS (-3)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Memphis are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State.  Enough said.

SAN ANTONIO (-1)...BIG PLAY!!!:  San Antonio are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games when playing at home against Atlanta.  Again, enough said.

LAC (+7):  This is just too many points for a very good Clippers team that can hang with anyone, and will be motivated to do so vs. Dallas.

OVER 233 (DEN/POR)...BIG PLAY!!!:  These teams can score and as good of a defense as you might think Denver has, they really don't, not this year at least.  I know the number is high but the trends are much hotter:  The total has gone OVER in 14 of the past 19 games played in this matchup.  Thats pretty compelling and a big reason this is a big play.

UNDER 236 (IND/PHO):  Too many points and when Bradley Beal plays it seems the Suns go over less than when he doesn't.  Just something to keep tabs on.

I know it looks like a lot of plays and it is.  But some of these games are super tasty and I would be very low risk sitting them out.  I look forward to a night of crushing the hardwood and, as always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Thanks LAG, 

Clips line has gone down to +4, at my time of checking...still a play?

Ja morant might be out

@gqsmuv

I wonder why it dropped so much.  Lucky I had locked that in.  I will have to get back to you later on that when the rosters are more transparent.

Potentially because Doncic is not playing.  I'd wait on the confirmed news I don't think it can drop much lower at this point.

@LAGameofInches

 thanks.  but would it still be a play at +4 if Luka is out?

Guy is allergic to posting his actual records 

@LAGameofInches

Nice 

Great Job today! Thanks 

sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppp

Holy shit what a stone cold killer sweep! Silenced and assassined the doubters and haters 

wowwwwwwwwwwww...this is when I say why didn't i juice this ishhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh...thank you LAG!!!

What an awesome day. Congrats

Boom 

Thanks everyone. Has a procedure yesterday so I was a bit out of commission. Really fumbled the NFL play though. Very frustrating. 

But picking up 9 units (and a push) while crushing a slate of games I had posited the night earlier helps tremendously. Will be back later for tonight’s game(s). 

Appreciate the candor.