YTD (NBA): 107-77-3 ATS (BIG PLAY!!!: 26-14 ATS)
Swept the 5 units last time out, hoping for much of the same. I did get lucky with some OT in the PHO/POR game but I'm hoping I won't need that tonight for any of the games. Look, a lot is happening right now in the NBA and I'm not sure Doncic was really happy about the trade to LA. BUT, either was Freddie Freeman when he first signed with the Dodgers and not the Braves, he even fired his agent. But look at him now. Doncic will be fine, but some of these other trades and rumors are going to adversely affect teams. Starting with...
UNDER 217 (WAS/BKN)...BIG PLAY!!!: NO shot in my mind they get over this number. With today's trade and Kuzma being dealt, the Wizards have zero motivation even with Kris Middleton arriving. He'll probably be none too happy either but I think long term it's a good move for him. I sense a Brooklyn blowout but since that generally doesn't happen, a closer low scoring game in where 5 of the last 7 played between the two in Brooklyn have gone UNDER and 5 of the last 5 game that Brooklyn has played at home has gone under. So being undermanned only helps what I already believe will be taking place.
OVER 226 (CHI/MIN): I very nearly took the Wolves as I just cant' see Chicago hanging with them but Randle is out and, for me, I think his defense will be missed. Naz Reid is a good substitution but far inferior grabbing boards and manning up. This should play into the 230's.
OVER 229 (PHO/OKC)...BIG PLAY!!!: No Durant as his name keeps circulating around in trade rumors. But OKC was winning this game regardless as they have all but owned the Suns on their home court. The Suns play little to no defense on the road and so I expect a VERY high scoring game even without KD. My gut says OKC gets to 130 on their own but I think PHO is good for 110 so, if I'm even close to correct, that will do just fine.
Sorry about only playing the totals tonight but the trade window changes things, at least for me. I do like the Heat to win in Philly as both are coming off B2B's and the Sixers will again be undermanned. But also tough to trust the Heat these days with the Butler saga continuing to loom. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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