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NBA Tuesday

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Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 3059
Posted: #1
YTD: 251-244-4 (+4.75 units)
ATS: 167-142-4 (+16.3 units)
ML: 8-15 (-10.7 units)
Totals: 52-42 (+8.1 units)
LIVE: 5-6 (+0.2 units)
2H ATS: 4-7 (-3.7 units)
2H Totals: 10-9 (+0.1 units)
Parlays: 2-23 (-6.15 units)
Teasers: 3-3 (+0 units)

Monday: 1-0 (+3 units)

Nothing nicer than an easy cover after a stretch of poor picks. My record is skewed by the losses in parlays and ML plays. The ML plays are always on short favourites, and that leads in perfect to tomorrow's leans...

Mavericks -3 @ Bobcats
TOTAL: 195.5
This is a clear no-play for me. The Mavs continue to take care of business against Eastern Conference opponents, but Charlotte has been very scrappy at home. They have beaten the Spurs, Clippers, Raptors, covered against the Thunder, and beaten the Warriors. On top of that, the Mavs play in Indiana on Wednesday. Clear look-ahead spot. It's either Bobcats +3 or nothing here, and I'm laying off because 1)Dallas is playing its best ball of the year, and 2)They beat Eastern Conference teams.

Play: NO PLAY


 
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Posted: #2
Kings @ Cavaliers -1
TOTAL: 204
Don't really have a lean on a side here. The Kings have struggled on this Eastern road trip and the Cavs have won 2 in a row since the firing of their GM. The Cavs are in a revenge spot here, as the Kings throttled them in Sacramento. I kind of lean UNDER here, but as I've said, if I don't love a pick I'm not playing it so I'm going to pass.

Play: NO PLAY
 
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Posted: #3
Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls -2.5
TOTAL: 186
The Hawks are set to start up a 3-game road trip against Chicago, Toronto, and Indiana. Atlanta is 9-15 (11-13 ATS). The last time these two teams met on Jan. 4, the Bulls won by 7 and were favoured by 5. The line is half that in this matchup because this is Chicago's first game back off of a 6 game Western road trip, where they went 3-3 (3-3 ATS) and played 5 games in 12 nights, which is not too bad. This could be a let-down spot for them. Atlanta has struggled in Chicago, though. The Hawks have lost 3 in a row, 2 of which were against two strong defensive teams in Memphis and Indiana. Well, Chicago is another strong defensive team. I won't take either side, but I will take the UNDER. The UNDER is 16-7 in Bulls' home games and Atlanta scored a combined 161 points against Memphis and Indiana. The UNDER is 9-1 in the last ten meetings between these two teams. The Bulls are tired and should come out flat. I think this one comes right down to the wire and ends as a low-scoring contest.

Play: Hawks/Bulls UNDER 186 (2 units)
 
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Posted: #4
Miami Heat -4 @ Phoenix Suns
TOTAL: 208.5
The Miami Heat are coming off a terrible loss @ Utah. The Heat are only 6-7 ATS coming off a loss and have been one of the worst teams ATS this season. The Suns are awfully impressive at home at 17-8. As home dogs, Phoenix is 5-3-1 ATS. Both teams are well-rested. If I had to choose a side, it would be Phoenix +4. But it's tough to go against the Heat. As road favourites this year, Miami is 11-12 ATS and 8-9 ATS against the West. The Heat beat Phoenix by 15 in Miami, 107-92. The best pick here might be the OVER. On the season, the OVER is 29-20 for Miami and 28-21-1 for Phoenix. On the road, OVERS are 14-11 for Miami. At home, OVERS are 16-8-1. In games where Miami scored less than 90 in the previous contest, OVERS are 1-1, but in both of those games the Heat put up over 100. I expect them to score over 100 here, but I think Phoenix will also. This game looks like 114-109.

Play: Heat/Suns OVER 208.5 (2 units)
 
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Posted: #5
Originally I liked ATL +2.5 and OKC +1.5, but I'm laying off because of ATL's poor road record and Portland's dominant home record. Not gonna touch either of those. This will likely be it for tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #6
Let's get it.
 
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Posted: #7
make it rain!!
 
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Posted: #8

 
 
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Posted: #9
How do you feel about the line moving up on the atl/chi game? 
 
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Posts: 37877
Posted: #10
GL
 
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Posted: #11
gl 3skin
 
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Posted: #12
GL sir hope you have a good night wagering 
 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by rg3skins:

Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls -2.5
TOTAL: 186
The Hawks are set to start up a 3-game road trip against Chicago, Toronto, and Indiana. Atlanta is 9-15 (11-13 ATS). The last time these two teams met on Jan. 4, the Bulls won by 7 and were favoured by 5. The line is half that in this matchup because this is Chicago's first game back off of a 6 game Western road trip, where they went 3-3 (3-3 ATS) and played 5 games in 12 nights, which is not too bad. This could be a let-down spot for them. Atlanta has struggled in Chicago, though. The Hawks have lost 3 in a row, 2 of which were against two strong defensive teams in Memphis and Indiana. Well, Chicago is another strong defensive team. I won't take either side, but I will take the UNDER. The UNDER is 16-7 in Bulls' home games and Atlanta scored a combined 161 points against Memphis and Indiana. The UNDER is 9-1 in the last ten meetings between these two teams. The Bulls are tired and should come out flat. I think this one comes right down to the wire and ends as a low-scoring contest.

Play: Hawks/Bulls UNDER 186 (2 units)

1 point!!! 
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