No Dunk In First Three Minutes Of Game

This seems like its an exploitable prop bet. The juice isn't that bad, ranges from -170 to -120. Has anyone ever been successful betting this?

Ive been looking into Point In The Paint and OPP PITP as a potential way to gain an edge. The line definitely varies based on higher PITP scoring teams.

Tonight the Mavs and Rockets are playing and NO DUNK IN FIRST THREE MINUTES IS -165. They 26th and 23rd PITP but the Rockets are 3rd in Defending. Seems like the Mavs game plan wouldn't be trying to get the bulk of their scoring down low and since they both already don't score down low a ton - seems like a solid play.

Has anyone else tried to find an edge on this prop bet?

@PatrickBateman

 Bro, immediately is not a fair bet up to -170 base on a flip coin!   even at -120!   You win 10 times vs loss 10 times.  math don't make any sense.  

Why  is it a coin flip though? There are multiple ways to score a basket in NBA. Layup, 2pt Jumper, 3pt Shot, Free Throw. The Dunk is only one of multiple ways to score. So i don't think its a coin flip proposition

Just an addendum - if it was a coin flip they would price it like a coin flip.

The coin flip in the Super Bowl always has the same juice on both sides. I forget exact juice but it would be Heads -120 / Tails -120. 

The fact the Dunk prop has a juice range means it isn't a coin flip in my book. Does it leave a lot to luck, yes, but not a coin flip.

Interesting. GL 

@PatrickBateman

You must be very good betting sports bro.  I only pay -105 99.9 my single bet.  Still lose like crazy.  Your average gotta be above 55% if you willing to pay -120 per bet.  Good for u

@Fuse

 I like how you said be content and discipline fuse.  Always remind me to take it easy placing my bet each time.  Thx ?? 

Seems easy enough GL with this strategy

Well the first play won. There wasn't a dunk until 7 mins into the game. Im still just curious if anyone has ever found success with this prop.