Play on Heat @ Pacers Game 6

Question

Under 182 -110Write up to come. 6-1 in NBA playoff threads.

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

Under 182 -110Write up to come. 6-1 in NBA playoff threads.

skinnyrob · Answer

Over!!!!!!

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

After scoring 75 points each in Games 2 and 3 of this series, the Heat came up with big offensive performances each of the last two games, winning each and taking a stranglehold on the series. Despite all the momentum, I lean Pacers &#x2B;3 here, 2.5 at most shops now, but I think the better play is on the total.In the two games that the Heat went off for large scoring outings, Haslem shot 5/6 in each one, which besides directly putting points on the board, also helped space the lane which had been a problem in the first few games with Bosh&#x27;s absence. Haslem obviously will not be playing tonight, and I guess they&#x27;re gonna have to play Howard who shouldn&#x27;t be too much of a downgrade defensively. Lebron also had massive games in both, and while it doesn&#x27;t factor much into my handicapping this game I really don&#x27;t expect him to come up huge in such a critical road game.Also, like I said I lean Pacers in this game, and in the two games they&#x27;ve won the PACE was about right at 84, whereas in the three games won by the Heat it was close to 90. The only way the Pacers keep this game close and give themselves a chance to win is to dictate a slow tempo, keep Miami out of their transition game, and grind it out in the half court, which I believe they will be largely successful in doing.The line is up to 182 from the 181 opener. Despite the majority of the bets being on the over, I&#x27;d expect it to get back to 181 or so by tip off. Best of luck everyone. Under 182 -110 5u is my play.

SportsFreak69 · Answer

Best of Luck

followmylead · Answer

wrote something on this myself. Great stuff.

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

I also believe that the loss of Haslem, and even Pittman to some degree, especially with Bosh already out, will give the Heat even less offensive rebounding opportunities, creating less 2nd chance points, and allowing the Pacers to play their tempo walking the ball up and down the court.

Considering the Heat lack of depth, I really just believe people are underestimating Haslem's impact on the Heat half court offense, which I believe they will have to play in a lot as the Pacers limit their transition opportunities and force a grind it out game. Haslem's consistent mid range jumper really forced the Pacers bigs to hedge out, in turn creating more space for Lebron and Wade to operate in the middle. The fact that Haslem had not yet found his rhythm in the first few games of the series had to at least partially contribute to the Heat's offensive struggles.

I really like this play.

capskip · Answer

DB gl tonight....

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

Thanks, you too CAP, what are you playing tonight?

buffalo11 · Answer

good luck

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

I don&#x27;t put too much stock in it, although I do believe refs can subconsciously go along with the fans in such an environment, but for anyone who puts value in the &#x27;David Joel Stern factor&#x27;: it would seemingly obviously favor a Pacers bet, and a Saturday bonanza of 2 game 7s. If the refs favor the Pacers, it will allow them more easily to settle into the half court game they desire. FWIW. Game time approaching.

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

This just in:Brandon Lang PAID PLAY - Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers OVER 182 points

plchris · Answer

So with Lang&#x27;s play are you still on the under?

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

Lang&#x27;s play makes me want to double up, but 5 units is enough here. My largest bet this season so far has been 8.

TsikenBreast · Answer

he&#x27;s due when he&#x27;s like winning 20 percent of his plays.

Str8Hustlin420 · Answer

I like the fade Lang angle as well Where did you find his picks?

dylanbop · Answer

Lang is far from perfect...https://beyondthebets.com/2012/01/10/handicapper-brandon-lang-loses-his-100-dime-national-championship-game-best-bet/

dylanbop · Answer

Good luck Donnie, I&#x27;m on the same side.

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

there are people that post them if you lookunder 182 being juiced at -111 at pinnacle now

Donnie_Baseball · Answer

Good game, under never really had any sort of chance. Congrats to over backers.

Play on Heat @ Pacers Game 6

Hot Forum Topics