Posted:
#1
For obvious reasons, I don't want to go back to that other thread in which I posted 3 losers.
From my vantage point, here is what went wrong with those picks:
1) Rockets used the injury report to play possum against the C's. C's came out flat, expecting a less than 100% Harden, and the Rockets jumped all over them. But C's took their best punch, put their game faces on, and roared back. Unfortunately, not only did the Rockets answer every Celtic run with a big 3 pointer (mostly Harden who was 9-18!), but the C's also expended a lot of energy coming back from the deficit. Once Austin Rivers banked in that miracle three at the end of the 3rd to push the lead to 6, I knew the C's were done. Add to this the the improbable shooting by Harden (who was supposed to be injured) and all the bail out fouls he got shooting some of those 3's, and the C's hardly stood a chance.
2) If only the Kings had made their run a quarter earlier and the Lakers had faded sooner. The shorthanded Lakers knew their best chance was to jump out early against the sluggish Kings who had played the night before, and then hold on to the lead for dear life before they ran out of gas. The strategy almost worked. Had the Kings gone for two and sent the game in OT, I think they would have covered.
3) Just when you thought the small market Jazz had turned things around and were through taking nights off, they come on national TV and lay an egg. That was the most disappointing loss of the three because the team did not show up.
All in all, a complete disaster. And I would not be on here confidently posting again unless the bets I'm about to suggest were already ready to be made before tonight's debacle (in other words, they are not chase/tilt bets).
In short, I like all the teams seeking revenge tomorrow night against team they played two nights ago. All three teams are much better at home, and all three opponents are bad to mediocre on the road. Two of the losses were gut wrenching for the losing teams, and the SA/Nuggets game was hard fought throughout. I expect two of the home teams to win by dd and one of the games to come down to the wire (probably Denver v SA). And if 2 of the 3 games don't hit, I will not be back here for a long, long time. I don't like costing people money.
Hornets -4.5
Pelicans -5
Nuggets -4
The books made a killing tonight, including the public dog (NY) that lost, so these numbers don't scare me.
Good Luck.
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