AnSo I got a nickel on the Bucks for the series at -290 and was counting my $500 after game two.
Then I watched the last three and Raps have been super impressive. Especially defensively. Then again Bucks look like a different team last three... lost almost.
So do I hedge tonight at least $500 and risk losing a shit ton or do I pray to the Deer Gods that Bucks get their shit together and make buckets?
AnSo I got a nickel on the Bucks for the series at -290 and was counting my $500 after game two.
Then I watched the last three and Raps have been super impressive. Especially defensively. Then again Bucks look like a different team last three... lost almost.
So do I hedge tonight at least $500 and risk losing a shit ton or do I pray to the Deer Gods that Bucks get their shit together and make buckets?
The moment you even considered placing a -290 type wager was the moment you became a bookies wet dream...hedging isnt what you need now, rethinking your wagering philosophy is what is necessary and learning from your mistake.
If you really liked the Bucks, youd take them at -1.5 games for something around -110 odds, and if you lose so be it...its just one wager...but at this juice for what really was a coinflip of a series to begin with if you asked a lot of seasoned bettors and cappers, its a bet you really shouldnt have made.
The best player on the court by far is Kawhi, and all their playoff exeperience vs the Bucks lack there of, no way should they have been nearly a -300 series fav.
If Leonard played even 10 more games during the season, they likely win atleast 6 of those? Then one could argue the Raps were potentially 4 games better in the standings than the Bucks...and if we use those type of metrics, Milwaukee would never ever been a -300 type fav.
This series is not over yet obviously, but the odds of this entire matchup have been whack from the get go, and ive been saying this from the very start...one more Raps win tonight and i am one freaking happy middle aged dude for many many reasons.
Regardless, good luck with how you play this out...i just typed all this with the hopes people read it, analyze it, reflect upon it, and learn for the future...and if the Bucks end up winning the series in 7...dammit to me and all Jurassic Park.
The moment you even considered placing a -290 type wager was the moment you became a bookies wet dream...hedging isnt what you need now, rethinking your wagering philosophy is what is necessary and learning from your mistake.
If you really liked the Bucks, youd take them at -1.5 games for something around -110 odds, and if you lose so be it...its just one wager...but at this juice for what really was a coinflip of a series to begin with if you asked a lot of seasoned bettors and cappers, its a bet you really shouldnt have made.
The best player on the court by far is Kawhi, and all their playoff exeperience vs the Bucks lack there of, no way should they have been nearly a -300 series fav.
If Leonard played even 10 more games during the season, they likely win atleast 6 of those? Then one could argue the Raps were potentially 4 games better in the standings than the Bucks...and if we use those type of metrics, Milwaukee would never ever been a -300 type fav.
This series is not over yet obviously, but the odds of this entire matchup have been whack from the get go, and ive been saying this from the very start...one more Raps win tonight and i am one freaking happy middle aged dude for many many reasons.
Regardless, good luck with how you play this out...i just typed all this with the hopes people read it, analyze it, reflect upon it, and learn for the future...and if the Bucks end up winning the series in 7...dammit to me and all Jurassic Park.
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