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SERIES BET....What will you do?

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Posted: #1
OK, I have had Heat to win Championship for a few months, but now I wonder where should the money go on the series price?

We were allowed to see two games, two full games, we now have a pretty even line (-115 OKC or -105 Heat).

Let's say you have no money on the series....what do you do today?
Wait, Heat. or OKC. reasons?
GL with whatever we do, just like to hear some thinking.

 
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Posted: #2
sorry to bump my own post, but would be interested in some feedback.

 
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Posted: #3
If you want to bet the series now (before the next game) it obviously depends who you're leaning on to win game 3.

The only other scenario I could see is if you like OKC, hoping they lose game 3 and then jumping on them at a better price afterwards. If OKC goes up 2-1 I can't imagine someone wanting to bet on the Heat with games 6 and 7 on the road.
 
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Posted: #4
I cant do it, I feel I have to see one more game, but then obviously it's too late, lol.
If I had to, I lean Heat, but just can't pull the trigger just yet.

 
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Posted: #5
This series is incredibly difficult to call. Best Finals matchup the NBA has seen in a long time.

I would lean Miami, because they should win 2 out of 3 at home and be able to pull out another road win in either game 6 or 7. 


 
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Posted: #6

Before the season started I took Miami +175 for $500...now I could take the Thunder -105 and guarentee myself to either be even or win some $...

Problem is, like you, I am having a hard time hitting enter. The gambler in me says stick to your bet, but the fucking little birdie on my shoulder is screaming GET OUT OF IT. I've yet to hit the submit button and will probably ride it out, but damn I didn't think Miami would be a heart attack team. I'm glad they got that game 2 under their belt. OKC is a juggernaut, I just hope, like most teams, they lose a CHIP before they actually win their first one. I'll be checking back to see what you decided. GL w/ your decision

 
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Posted: #7
keep the heat bet they will win in 6
 
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Posted: #8
Hedge to win back half of your risk amount on the heat future....

This way, if heat win game 2, then you van hedge the rest at a much better price and dont lose too much profit if the heat win the series...

If thunder win game 2, you hedged half the risk already and can now wait until an elimination game to hedge the rest or hopefully heat come come back and win game 4 and 5....

This really is a coin flip... if you are cheering for thunder to win, just fully hedge out, put more on the thunder and sit back and enjoy
 
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Posted: #9

    If you're smart, you should wait for results of game 3. The Heat winning will give you the right odds on Thunder. They will have Miami right where they want them because Durant and company thrive on deficits and play best when behind.

   Let's not assume they'll have to make up 14-17 points every game, even though it's proven they can do it. You Heat series backers have to be worried after escaping with a win thurday.

 
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Posted: #10
its a carbon copy of the last 2 finals.. home team wins game 1 , loses game 2, then home team loses game 3 just to win game 4 + 5.
 
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Posted: #11
thanks guys, well, I bought a little more of Heat before game 3.
Not sure if it was the right move, but I really felt they would win and price would go up...and they did.
It's funny, I HATE the Heat and even with my money on them hope they lose (that's a whole other (mental) issue, lol)
BUT I feel they are going to win the series, but IF OKC wins Tuesday, like I think they will, I will all the sudden be confused again, lol.

So, I guess I do nothing now and just play the individual games.
GL to all, feedback welcome!
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by tonyrome:

thanks guys, well, I bought a little more of Heat before game 3.
Not sure if it was the right move, but I really felt they would win and price would go up...and they did.
It's funny, I HATE the Heat and even with my money on them hope they lose (that's a whole other (mental) issue, lol)
BUT I feel they are going to win the series, but IF OKC wins Tuesday, like I think they will, I will all the sudden be confused again, lol.

So, I guess I do nothing now and just play the individual games.
GL to all, feedback welcome!

   Why not just play the Thunder with the points then and hope for the best of both worlds.

 
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Posted: #13
OKC ON TUESDAY GL
 
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Posted: #14
DOUBLE DOWN ON OKC TUESDAY!!??
 
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Posted: #15
I played OKC +4.5 (bought a point) and sprinkled some on ML.

GL all!

 
 
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Posted: #16
        GL      
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