so for?

momentum and motivation how do yall cap these in numbers or is it not a number thing, can anyone break down a system they use or idea theyve been ussing to cap such weird basketball or is it all gut feelings ?

like in the bulls game today seemed like they had no chance whats so ever in the game.

or mavs getting smoked after the 1st qrtr im kinda shook that they lost ughhh.

some context of me today i was nugs -5 heavy today and sprinkled 2 parlays with the 2 mentioned above both of them were ml plays

lets talk what ever it is yall are thinking were all here to make money and beat the books. hope to see you in here discussing on how to win with other angles and not egos it seems elementary but it might be far from it

happy new years

side note these refs are atrocious lmao unreal

It's like you said all the angles and motivations can get skewed and players resting, but the one factor that I feel always has merit is when teams are in a bad schedule situation like the last game of a road trip.  For example Detroit pistons were on a 4 game road trip out west.  They pulled off three straight upsets then their 4th and final game they ran out of gas at Denver.   

But as you said most other factors that used to be reliable are about as trustworthy nowadays as a tweaker with a $20 bill. 

Imo

Public perception is your worse enemy. Also, you are betting on numbers not teams

Many people need to understand this….  

Keep records of wins and losses.

take notes on specific patterns that can arise…

Look at the line….  Ask yourself where the oddsmakers want this money.

Ride streaks 

Look at past matches ( some shit teams just play other teams close)

what you think will happen… probably won’t. 

it’s the NBA

nothing but agony….

never chase..

Bol

i knew a guy that did pretty well betting the NBA and one of the things he looked for was parity in the matchup between 2 teams playing. when he found something he liked he would always bet the dog in those matchups.

@diondimucci

 interesting have you used that angle this season ?

@masterkush

 yea i try definitely to ride streaks and trends for sure and the strength of them. like knicks dont seem to care about 1st halfs lol  im only a chaser when all else fails for the day and i blast the last game of the day but other than that im pretty level headed lol

@tryn2makeabuck

 can you go into more detail about the parity and playing the dog in the game? i think i kinda do that unknowingly

HNY 

Yes so my recommendation is when you have the time is to look at the the individual teams upcoming schedule then look at those potential trouble spots, such as 5 games in 7 nights, and Mark it on your calender 

@smellieflower

 i had his entire betting formula for betting NBA, let me see if i can find it. i know i have it saved somewhere on one of my laptops. i will try to find it.

#1. try not to bet on any team with less than 40% winning record. #2. try not to bet any team with a winning pecentage greater than 65%. the speads are high and the moneyline for teams like that are sky high. the guy i got this from only bet underdogs on the spread and moneyline. he almost never bet a favorite.

@diondimucci

okc jan 2-16 brutal schedule ill be watching this not road or home per say. thanks for the input love it.

@tryn2makeabuck

 wow very interesting staying in the middle of the pac as a system ima take a deeper dive into this the next couple days. so lets take todays slate for example pacers vs heat game and warriors vs 6ers game are those prime games for the system. i only parlay heavy favs and even that is sketchy right now lol thanks for the input love it 

@masterkush

 agree, like your input 

@smellieflower

 yes, the pacers/heat and philly/gs games would be good examples of games you would bet on. 

Well there's an example of a bad scheduling spot.  Philadelphia on a back to back and middle of long road trip, and they playing like sharmutas getting their culeros kicked in.

I didn't play it cuz I was roo much involved with other games.  But bookmark that in your notebook