The Spurs are on a back to back tonight, a spot that has
been favorable this season considering their 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS record.
Normally people like to fade teams on back to backs because they are perceived
to be tired from travel or less prepared. Sure they will travel with no rest
day in between games. But the Spurs previous game before last night was 12/10
which gave them 3 days of rest before playing this back to back.
The Spurs also have the benefit of playing one of the
deepest benches in the NBA, although the number is a little skewed with Ginobili
coming off the bench. A strong bench nonetheless. Couple that with the fact
that Aldridge was given the night off, and the back to back is very manageable.
While Phoenix had last night off, their previous two games
went into overtime. The last overtime game vs the Knicks was played without
Alex Len and TJ Warren who hasn’t played in a while. Len, Warren, and now Knight
are all questionable for tonight’s game.
Now that we know who’s tired and who isn’t…. Let’s look at
the actual game….
Phoenix’s entire game is based on the fast break and
creating turnovers. That is something that bodes well for San Antonio. Two
things that San Antonio does well are limiting turnovers on offensive and
transitioning well in defense. The Spurs are in the bottom third in the league
in offensive rebounding, and this is by design as coach Popovich believes in
transitioning back on defense, game planning against easy baskets. (The Spurs
are always in the bottom third in this category)
The Spurs will let this game come to them as they will wait
for Phoenix to turn the ball over on the break. This will lead to easy baskets
for San Antonio as the game progresses. The Spurs may start off slow but will
ultimately win this game by double digits. This game is a huge step up in class
for a young Suns team.The play is the SPURS -7.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The Spurs are on a back to back tonight, a spot that has
been favorable this season considering their 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS record.
Normally people like to fade teams on back to backs because they are perceived
to be tired from travel or less prepared. Sure they will travel with no rest
day in between games. But the Spurs previous game before last night was 12/10
which gave them 3 days of rest before playing this back to back.
The Spurs also have the benefit of playing one of the
deepest benches in the NBA, although the number is a little skewed with Ginobili
coming off the bench. A strong bench nonetheless. Couple that with the fact
that Aldridge was given the night off, and the back to back is very manageable.
While Phoenix had last night off, their previous two games
went into overtime. The last overtime game vs the Knicks was played without
Alex Len and TJ Warren who hasn’t played in a while. Len, Warren, and now Knight
are all questionable for tonight’s game.
Now that we know who’s tired and who isn’t…. Let’s look at
the actual game….
Phoenix’s entire game is based on the fast break and
creating turnovers. That is something that bodes well for San Antonio. Two
things that San Antonio does well are limiting turnovers on offensive and
transitioning well in defense. The Spurs are in the bottom third in the league
in offensive rebounding, and this is by design as coach Popovich believes in
transitioning back on defense, game planning against easy baskets. (The Spurs
are always in the bottom third in this category)
The Spurs will let this game come to them as they will wait
for Phoenix to turn the ball over on the break. This will lead to easy baskets
for San Antonio as the game progresses. The Spurs may start off slow but will
ultimately win this game by double digits. This game is a huge step up in class
for a young Suns team.The play is the SPURS -7.
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