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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Such a weird position for the league Wednesday

    TreyB1
    composite
    IfYaSmellLALALA
    HeadOverHeart
    jeremiahj13
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    TreyB1
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 12:29 PM ET #1

    I honestly don't know what they do now, this line sitting at 8.5 is just down right disrespectful to the Thunder. And obviously shows that the NBA has an agenda....it's seriously the ONLY way to look at this.

    The only logical conclusion is that the NBA will "push" their agenda because they CAN'T have GS to go down 0-2....so I honestly don't see how you bet this another way. Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I honestly don't know what they do now, this line sitting at 8.5 is just down right disrespectful to the Thunder. And obviously shows that the NBA has an agenda....it's seriously the ONLY way to look at this.

    The only logical conclusion is that the NBA will "push" their agenda because they CAN'T have GS to go down 0-2....so I honestly don't see how you bet this another way. Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.
     
    composite
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 12:42 PM ET #2

    No. It means Vegas thinks that most bettors think GSW will crush OKC in G2.  Who knows whether they will or not.  

    Who cares whether the NBA has an agenda or not.  And if they did, why would bookies know and bettors won't?  


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    No. It means Vegas thinks that most bettors think GSW will crush OKC in G2.  Who knows whether they will or not.  

    Who cares whether the NBA has an agenda or not.  And if they did, why would bookies know and bettors won't?  


     
    IfYaSmellLALALA
    IfYaSmellLALALA
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 12:48 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by TreyB1:

     Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.




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    Quote Originally Posted by TreyB1:

     Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.




     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 12:50 PM ET #4

    How is the world is OKC getting MORE POINTS in Game Two than they did in Game One?

    They didn't even play that well in Game One.

    Like the OP said, either Vegas knows something that we don't or they expect a lot of money to come in on the Warriors.  Who in their right mind would take the Warriors -8.5 for Game Two?

    I don't get it.

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    How is the world is OKC getting MORE POINTS in Game Two than they did in Game One?

    They didn't even play that well in Game One.

    Like the OP said, either Vegas knows something that we don't or they expect a lot of money to come in on the Warriors.  Who in their right mind would take the Warriors -8.5 for Game Two?

    I don't get it.

     
    jeremiahj13
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 1:06 PM ET #5

    maybe the GSW will bounce back with a vengeance... 

    -8.5 doesnt sound as bad as you're all making it out to be. 
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    maybe the GSW will bounce back with a vengeance... 

    -8.5 doesnt sound as bad as you're all making it out to be. 
     
    thorpe
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 1:13 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

    How is the world is OKC getting MORE POINTS in Game Two than they did in Game One?

    They didn't even play that well in Game One.

    Like the OP said, either Vegas knows something that we don't or they expect a lot of money to come in on the Warriors.  Who in their right mind would take the Warriors -8.5 for Game Two?

    I don't get it.





    In the NBA playoffs, the visiting team is 31-98 after winning game 1 in a best of 7 series.
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

    How is the world is OKC getting MORE POINTS in Game Two than they did in Game One?

    They didn't even play that well in Game One.

    Like the OP said, either Vegas knows something that we don't or they expect a lot of money to come in on the Warriors.  Who in their right mind would take the Warriors -8.5 for Game Two?

    I don't get it.





    In the NBA playoffs, the visiting team is 31-98 after winning game 1 in a best of 7 series.
     
    GiantFan18
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 1:20 PM ET #7

    Game 2 final score GSW 121 OKC 99
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    Game 2 final score GSW 121 OKC 99
     
    nygjmap
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 1:53 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by composite:

    No. It means Vegas thinks that most bettors think GSW will crush OKC in G2.  Who knows whether they will or not.  

    Who cares whether the NBA has an agenda or not.  And if they did, why would bookies know and bettors won't?  



    LOGIC!?!?! How dare you! Don't you know Vegas writes up a script before a game, because Vegas KNOWS the outcome of every game as they control the will of every player on every team AND they keep them quiet by paying them in diamonds and threatening their families!(this has worked 100% of the time thought history)

    Wait until MGM gets in here, HE'LL SHOW YOU!!


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    Quote Originally Posted by composite:

    No. It means Vegas thinks that most bettors think GSW will crush OKC in G2.  Who knows whether they will or not.  

    Who cares whether the NBA has an agenda or not.  And if they did, why would bookies know and bettors won't?  



    LOGIC!?!?! How dare you! Don't you know Vegas writes up a script before a game, because Vegas KNOWS the outcome of every game as they control the will of every player on every team AND they keep them quiet by paying them in diamonds and threatening their families!(this has worked 100% of the time thought history)

    Wait until MGM gets in here, HE'LL SHOW YOU!!


     
    TreyB1
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 2:48 PM ET #9

    No, but ref can effectively control a game. Stupid if you don't think so.....im not talking about the players(that's just stupid)
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    No, but ref can effectively control a game. Stupid if you don't think so.....im not talking about the players(that's just stupid)
     
    mgmprofits
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 3:50 PM ET #10

    Totally disagree with your theory.

    I think nba wants OKC to go up 2-0...and the line is to fool people into betting golden state


    look it worked on you
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    Totally disagree with your theory.

    I think nba wants OKC to go up 2-0...and the line is to fool people into betting golden state


    look it worked on you
     
    HeadOverHeart
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    Posted: May. 17, 2016 - 4:41 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:





    In the NBA playoffs, the visiting team is 31-98 after winning game 1 in a best of 7 series.



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    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:





    In the NBA playoffs, the visiting team is 31-98 after winning game 1 in a best of 7 series.



     
    bum
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 1:12 AM ET #12

    will gsw cover?

    i think so
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    will gsw cover?

    i think so
     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 7:07 AM ET #13

    In the database I have access to, the home team losing game 1 is 33-24 against the spread in game two off losing game 1.  

    In the third round the home loser of game one is:

      1)   3-7 against the spread
      2)   6-4 straight up
      3)  3-6-1 OVER
      4)  Average score off all games in all rounds was 101.3-91.2, covering spread by an average of 3.66 points.
      5)  Average score of round three games was 96.1-93.2, losing ATS by an average of 1.80 points.
      6)  If the total for the game was >200 in all rounds, the home team was 8-4 ATS and 9-3 OVER. average score 115.4-100.5.
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    In the database I have access to, the home team losing game 1 is 33-24 against the spread in game two off losing game 1.  

    In the third round the home loser of game one is:

      1)   3-7 against the spread
      2)   6-4 straight up
      3)  3-6-1 OVER
      4)  Average score off all games in all rounds was 101.3-91.2, covering spread by an average of 3.66 points.
      5)  Average score of round three games was 96.1-93.2, losing ATS by an average of 1.80 points.
      6)  If the total for the game was >200 in all rounds, the home team was 8-4 ATS and 9-3 OVER. average score 115.4-100.5.
     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 7:15 AM ET #14

    If the home team:

      a)  lost game one at home
      b)  game one went UNDER
      c)  are a home favorite in game 2
      d)  playing in round three  

    historical results of game two home team was:   

      1)  1-4 against the spread
      2)  2-3 straight up
      3)  0-4-1 OVER
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    If the home team:

      a)  lost game one at home
      b)  game one went UNDER
      c)  are a home favorite in game 2
      d)  playing in round three  

    historical results of game two home team was:   

      1)  1-4 against the spread
      2)  2-3 straight up
      3)  0-4-1 OVER
     
    Duderonomy
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 7:21 AM ET #15

    Books don't set lines to fool people... that is a ridiculous theory!


    The line is bigger in game 2 because game 2 is a must-win situation. The line is always higher in a must-win situation than it is when it's not a must-win situation... 

    This isn't rocket science!
    The Dude imbibes
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    Books don't set lines to fool people... that is a ridiculous theory!


    The line is bigger in game 2 because game 2 is a must-win situation. The line is always higher in a must-win situation than it is when it's not a must-win situation... 

    This isn't rocket science!
     
    Indigo999
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 7:21 AM ET #16

    It's obvious that Las Vegas is picking a side and the "value" is on OKC, and they want to frighten people away from taking the Warriors.  

    When Vegas takes  a side to attract money public money, the public is wrong around 55-57% of the time.
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    It's obvious that Las Vegas is picking a side and the "value" is on OKC, and they want to frighten people away from taking the Warriors.  

    When Vegas takes  a side to attract money public money, the public is wrong around 55-57% of the time.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 18, 2016 - 7:25 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by TreyB1:

    I honestly don't know what they do now, this line sitting at 8.5 is just down right disrespectful to the Thunder. And obviously shows that the NBA has an agenda....it's seriously the ONLY way to look at this.

    The only logical conclusion is that the NBA will "push" their agenda because they CAN'T have GS to go down 0-2....so I honestly don't see how you bet this another way. Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.

    The NBA  has nothing to do with making GS -8.5, the books do that who happen to be pretty smart about this stuff and are trying to get balanced action from the money, hey there's the agenda......
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    Quote Originally Posted by TreyB1:

    I honestly don't know what they do now, this line sitting at 8.5 is just down right disrespectful to the Thunder. And obviously shows that the NBA has an agenda....it's seriously the ONLY way to look at this.

    The only logical conclusion is that the NBA will "push" their agenda because they CAN'T have GS to go down 0-2....so I honestly don't see how you bet this another way. Hell why not just throw a ton of money on the GS ML....

    It's sad, but that's the way the NBA works. Anyone care to argue?? Because I don't think you can.

    It's sad, but GS ML looks to be the lock of the century.....Hell the juice means nothing.

    The NBA  has nothing to do with making GS -8.5, the books do that who happen to be pretty smart about this stuff and are trying to get balanced action from the money, hey there's the agenda......
     
    OneWhoKnows
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    Posted: May. 19, 2016 - 12:40 PM ET #18

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    MACKY
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    Posted: May. 19, 2016 - 2:25 PM ET #19

    I didn't see this stupid thread yesterday, 

    OK folks, Las Vegas put up the line that making those stupid gamblers to wage his/her money on the weak team. First game Vegas make you feeling good because you can win with a big dog easy but... if you talking about upset, is it easy to get an upset? think about it. The wise money go to money line for the better teams every game. You can upset once but not twice. And why did you feel so confident about the 2nd game? Just because you won on first game and get 9.5 points for 2nd game. That's so easy but lost. 
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    I didn't see this stupid thread yesterday, 

    OK folks, Las Vegas put up the line that making those stupid gamblers to wage his/her money on the weak team. First game Vegas make you feeling good because you can win with a big dog easy but... if you talking about upset, is it easy to get an upset? think about it. The wise money go to money line for the better teams every game. You can upset once but not twice. And why did you feel so confident about the 2nd game? Just because you won on first game and get 9.5 points for 2nd game. That's so easy but lost. 
     
     
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    Posted: May. 19, 2016 - 3:37 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by GiantFan18:

    Game 2 final score GSW 121 OKC 99

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    Quote Originally Posted by GiantFan18:

    Game 2 final score GSW 121 OKC 99

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