System value Home/Away trends Play off

For the next trends, I have compare 3 systems trends during this play off beginning.

I have notice for the majority of games, bookies believe that lot of Teams will became suddenly better than the regular season?

Honestly I cannot believe that. Ok I can understand that it exists teams who hide in regular season and show up their true face in play off because they have experience of managing,etc (or it is because of injuries during regular season) but here it seems that a lot of teams will become better Magically?

I could be wrong because I expect also that Away teams show up (it's little bit contradictory)but for next play off days I have value(not neccesary the winner of the game only on Underdogs .

There is one Favorite exception Atlanta ...and I don't have a real trend on Bucks @ Heat.

Summary "value" Home/Away trends:

Phoenix ML

Denver ML

Atlanta ML

Boston ML

Dallas ML

Washington ML

Memphis ML

BL

Phoenix ML  -1U

Denver ML  +1.43U

Profit: +0.43U

I add:

Dallas ML

Miami ML

Memphis ML 

So let"s Go dogs(except Atlanta) and...

BL

Results (profit at closing lines)

Atlanta ML game3  +0.52U

Boston ML game3  +2.58U

Dallas ML game3  -1U

Profit: +2.1U

Total profit with these systems since beginning of play in-off : +5.15U

I add same trends that last nights results

DENVER ML game4 (I am not sure to bet this one because I don't think it will happened twice in a raw)

ATLANTA ML game4

BOSTON ML game4( I am not sure to bet this one because I don't think it will happened twice in a raw and odds is less than previous game at boston)

DALLAS ML game4

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Results

Miami (lost) -1

Denver(lost) -1   (I didn't bet this one)

Wash ( lost) -1

Memphis (lost) -1

Lost: -4U

Record of the system until play in : +1.15U

note: IF I had followed bookies trends I will be -5.5U

For today:

Atlanta ML ( game4)

Phoenix ML ( game4)

Boston ML (game4) but I don't bet this one but normaly I should

Dallas ML (game4)

BL

CP3 is on GMT decision that mean is not healthy even if he plays so I fold Phoenix ML but I will count the result for the record of the system anyway

Finally cp3 plays and no impact because of his injury

AD injuried during the game and out rest of the game

Well I don't feel Lakers back on this game

Rule 1: always follow a system like a Robot without put feelings inside

But I will not bet boston ml even if I should follow the rule number 1 

CP3 player of the game 

Lebron seems tired no?

Results:

Atlanta ML ( game4)  +0.5U

Phoenix ML ( game4)  +2.32U

Boston ML (game4)  -1U

Dallas ML (game4) - 1U

Profit day: +0.82U

Total record of the system since beginning of play-in(36bets) : +2U ( Roi :+5.5%)

(If I had followed bookies trends I will be in lost by -6.67U)

For today:

Washington ML

Memphis ML

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Results

Washington ML +3U

Memphis ML  -1U

Profit of the day : +2U

Total record of the system since beginning of play-in(38bets) : +4U ( Roi :+10.5%)

(If I had followed bookies trends I will be in lost by -7.23U)

For Today:

My system1 gives me Brooklyn ml, Denver ml and phoenix ml but for Brooklyn and Phoenix the value is very low(not interesting). In add system2&3 are not agree with the system1 so I will fold them.(I will count it on the system record anyway)

So, It stays Denver ML that respect the 3system's trends...

BL

Results

Brooklyn ML  +0.1U

Denver ML +0.79U

Phoenix ML  +0.54U

Profit of the day: +1.43U

Total record of the System1(S1) since beginning of play-in(41bets) : +5.42U ( Roi :+13.22%)

(If I had followed bookies trends I will be in lost by -10.23U)

For info:

System2(S2) has a total record: +2.76U

System3(S3) has a total record: +0.22U

Bets for Today:

PHILA ML ( System1+S2+S3)

NY ML ( S1+S3)

MEMPHIS ML ( S1+S2+S3)

DALLAS ML ( S1+S2+S3)

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Results 

PHILA ML ( System1+S2+S3)  +0.41U

NY ML ( S1+S3) -1U

MEMPHIS ML ( S1+S2+S3) -1U

DALLAS ML ( S1+S2+S3) +2.7U

Profit of the day: +1.1U

Total record of the System1(S1) since beginning of play-in(45bets) : +6.53U ( Roi :+14.5%)

(If I had followed bookies trends I will be in lost by -11.08U)

For info:

System2(S2) has a total playinoff record: +5.08U

System3(S3) has a total playinoff record: +1.33U 

For Today

DENVER ML ( s1+s2+s3)

PHOENIX ML (s1+s2+s3)  

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Results

DENVER ML ( s1+s2+s3)  +1.69U

PHOENIX ML (s1+s2+s3)  +1.28U

Profit of the day: + 2.97U

Total record of the System1(S1) since beginning of play-in(47bets) : +9.5U ( Roi :+20.23%)

(If I had followed bookies trends I will be in lost by -13.08U)

For info:

System2(S2) has a total playinoff record: +8.08U

System3(S3) has a total playinoff record: +4.3U

For Today:

CLIP@DAL :  system1 has no value(for the moment), S2 gives value on DALLAS ML, S3 gives value on CLIP ML

I don't like so much contrary trends between systems

In add, I am more waiting that Home teams winning in nearby future 

I will wait to see if a value will come for S1.

It will be DALLAS ML or ( FOLD)

BL