Posted:
#1
This game, IMO, is a rarity. It's like the hand at the blackjack table where you split double 8's, and get double 8's again. Maybe I'm being too dramatic but let's look at the logistics here. This is not the first, second, but the THIRD consecutive home game where the Kings are a double digit home dog. I'm not sure I've ever seen that. Certainly that doesn't mean an automatic cover, but consider they didn't cover the first 2 (vs. the Lakers last Tuesday and Houston last Thursday). So isn't it that much more likely they'll cover this one? you bet it is. Now the numbers: looking back on the decade the Kings have just once lost 3 consecutive home games by double digits. I realize this is a bad team they've got and Kings teams were good a few years back, but look what the Warriors did the last 2 times out with a depleated roster, and covered the big number vs. Houston as I predicted the other night. So not only do we have that stat, we've got Sac town coming in with 3 consecutive double digit losses, most recently to the Clips. The Kings organization has not suffered 4 consecutive DD losses in at least the last 10 years (probably ever, but I didn't feel like going back that far and checking). Yes they just got blown out at the Clips but you have to wonder about the authenticy of such games when a team jumps out to a 20+ lead in the 1st quarter. So I'm taking the points as it's simply statistically unlikely the pride of the Kings will allow them to drop a 3rd consecutive home game ATS as a double digit home dog. I could be wrong. But then again, you don't always win those double 8's either (but you've got a great statistical shot).
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