My first model output the 2019-2020 season on NBA forum. Last year showed good results and I'm hoping my analysis helps you out and kind of see my thought process on interpreting the models data. I've been reluctant to post due to the season getting started and collecting data.
What surprised me about the close margin(121-117) is that the model doesn't take into account the "Human Factor". So looking at both teams, their last two games were B2B giving them a one day rest before meeting today, let alone if that data can even be relied on. So i took this into account before i began analyzing both teams here on forward. I also want to figure out
In their previous meeting the clippers won by a 10 point margin. The model predicts the same outcome but with a smaller margin. The clippers have won 11 of their last 13 games, the Raptors have only won 9 of 13. Two of those 9 wins came from defeating Orlando, Other than beating 76ers the rest came from mediocore/under-porforming teams. I liked the 13 game range because it really pinpointed the performance of both teams giving their schedule this season. The clippers Have been dominant this season let alone their last 13 game stretch. The Raptors "revenge" isn't looking probable giving their stats. Across the board their stats are 10% lower than the clippers in 3 points to field goals etc..
I would back the clippers in this position, but I would also be unsure of the spread.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The model predicts Clippers win 1.6-5.9 Margin /
Clippers 121 - Raptors 117
My first model output the 2019-2020 season on NBA forum. Last year showed good results and I'm hoping my analysis helps you out and kind of see my thought process on interpreting the models data. I've been reluctant to post due to the season getting started and collecting data.
What surprised me about the close margin(121-117) is that the model doesn't take into account the "Human Factor". So looking at both teams, their last two games were B2B giving them a one day rest before meeting today, let alone if that data can even be relied on. So i took this into account before i began analyzing both teams here on forward. I also want to figure out
In their previous meeting the clippers won by a 10 point margin. The model predicts the same outcome but with a smaller margin. The clippers have won 11 of their last 13 games, the Raptors have only won 9 of 13. Two of those 9 wins came from defeating Orlando, Other than beating 76ers the rest came from mediocore/under-porforming teams. I liked the 13 game range because it really pinpointed the performance of both teams giving their schedule this season. The clippers Have been dominant this season let alone their last 13 game stretch. The Raptors "revenge" isn't looking probable giving their stats. Across the board their stats are 10% lower than the clippers in 3 points to field goals etc..
I would back the clippers in this position, but I would also be unsure of the spread.
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