Why are we so afraid to bet against MIA and LAL tonight???..

Mia+5@Okc
Why are the defending champ a 5 pt. underdog in this game?
-MIA is 12W-11L on the road, 52% winning percentage, (10-13ATS / 43%)
-OKC 23W-3L at home, 88% winning percentage (18-8ATS / 69%)
-MIA is blazing hot in their 6 game winning streak and LBJ is playing exceptionally well, but idioms are made for a reason, WHAT GOES UP MUST COME DOWN!
-OKC coming off from an embarrassing loss @ uta, KD was extremely frustrated and called with his first ever flagrant foul, which simply added insult to injury..Expect KD to show up tonight.
-OKC was man handled by the defending champs on NBA FINALS last season, they have their first chance to avenge that beat down @ MIA on Xmas Day but OKC was robbed with a non-call on westbrook's three point shot attempt..Westbrook was furious and got a technical foul which just added insult to injury..i don't think westbrook will ever forget that..Expect some fireworks with westbrook tonight..

MOTIVATION:
-LBJ coming off a record breaking game against portland being the 1st nba player to score 30+ pts ang 60% fg in 6 consecutive games..i don't think he will have that same intensity today, and he has no chance of doing it for 7th consecutive games against okc def @ home. just don't see it..
-KD, Westbrook and the Thunder is hungry for REVENGE! And coming off from a disappointing loss @ uta, expect thunder to roll tonight (OKC is 11-1 ATS this season coming off a loss). just like against memphies after their disappointing loss in cleveland.
-LBJ is the reigning MVP and he is still in the number 1 spot in MVP rankings this season. KD is closing in with the number 2 spot, defeating LBJ and the Miami Heat will not only avenged their loss but boost his pride and morale beating the best player in the world..KD has an edge here..

Why a 5 pt. underdog?
-don't over analyze it, lets make it simple. OKC is playing great in home games, while MIA is playing mediocre in road games..Was Det and Mil defeated them fair and square, why not OKC.

OKC-5 (if KM will play great tonight, OKC has 100% chance to cover..On the contrary, if MIA managed to throw bombs beyond 3 pt. line of atleast 10 made 3's, then game over for OKC, dejavu of game 5 of  NBA Finals.)


LAC@LAL+3
Why are the LAL only a 3pt. underdog? smells fishy and looks like a trap, so i'll take LAL ML..
-That's B***S***. i made that mistake with MAGIC yesterday, not doing it again.
-LAC owns LAL w/o Bynum period..
-There is no such thing as a TRAP GAME. its a game of chance. MAGIC has a chance of winning against HAWKS but it didn't happen..same goes for LAL, they are very capable of winning outright on this spot but same goes for LAC to blow this game open from the get go..In order for team to win, players must play well together, in order to play well together they must be motivated with one goal. I just don't see it happening with the lakeshow tonight, not even after the all star break or even after the playoff, why? funny thing is they are not even united..sibling rivalry is a bad omen in a family..just my 2 cent of the matter..

LAC-3 (No home court advantage tonight, i'll go with the better team)

NOTE: Its true,  LAL has a good chance of winning tonight, maybe a bounce back game for KB, or simply a meltdown for LAC. like what i've said in this sport anything is possible, any team can win in any given time and situation. but when you say LAL will win outright tonight because the line was too low @ LAL+3 , that's B***S***. VEGAS are just toying with our minds, we are the imagining or speculating things, VEGAS is sharp in making lines because this is business but like all of us they are guessing, what team is going to win tonight or what team is going to cover, what team is more motivated, etc..VEGAS is not from the future, they are just predicting the outcome of the games, just like all of us bettors..to make it simple, NBA BETTING is always a TOSS COIN..its a game of chance for NBA teams and a game of luck for us bettor..


But then again, nothing is certian, i may be right or wrong with my predictions, but who cares, it just a game and just a normal day of gambling..BOL to everyone

I mean if anyone was thinking of taking mia or lal are just squares

i agree with both ur picks but i emphatically disagree that this is a normal day of gambling.  tnt thursdays are designed to be heavily bet days.  people tend to bet far more than they normally would.  but when ur on the winning side , which i think u are, then it doesnt matter does it

maybe with MIA but not with LAL..LAL are just playing awful right now..yes they won against weaker opponents, but even those wins are not impressive, its way below to what people expect from the lakeshow..

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sorry my bad, i totally forgot about the NBA THURSDAY MYTH, where home dogs usually covers or wins outright. hope it won't be this thursday. besides its busted some occasions..

https://scores.covers.com/basketball-scores-matchups.aspx
All homedogs lost..

diondimucci

look pal, I doubt you have even taken a first year collegiate logic class. Yet you live the facade of philosophy and intellect. You probably wash dishes for a living, or work at McDonald's

You said "ive always known and witnessed many blatant cases of point shaving

Your statement is so grammatically flawed and filled with so many errors of intellect, it is disgusting.

To even use the word 'always' in a statement shoes that you have zero knowledge of even the most basic rudiments of intellectual thought.

Your paragraph structure is that of a junior high education. Yet you accuse people of committing logical fallacies, while committing numerous fallacies in every paragraph.

You are the one that lives in delusion.  

You have one red star by your name,I have almost five. You cry fix,because you are a conspiracy nut.

Be careful on your way to Mommies house tonight. The telephone wires might be controlling your brain.

I'll bet you have a poster of Art Bell in your living room.

@diondimucci

who want's to listen to a one star man, your picks constantly loose. go cry fix somewhere.

BatangTae, in addition to all the factors you pointed out that favor the home team tonight, the Thunder are 5-0 SU & ATS revenging a loss from earlier this season.  Four of those revenge games took place at home, where the Thunder beat the Spurs by 14, the T-Wolves by 22, the Grizzlies by 17, and the Warriors by 21.